If Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar had assumed that the Iranians, Hezbollah and the Palestinian Brotherhood in the West Bank would join the war with full force, he made a massive mistake – in many ways, a critical error
Hamas However Sinwar, later killed by the Israel Defence Forces (IDF) didn’t wait to implement the Iranian plan and started the war without coordination with other “Ring of Fire” components
Perhaps all these factors played a mixed role in his decision – we can’t know for sure
Perhaps Sinwar felt pressured by the advancing talks between Saudi Arabia and Israel destruction
maybe Sinwar felt a solid religious duty and feared that continued economic progress in Gaza would interfere with his future plans
or Sinwar might have felt strong and well-prepared – while Israel appeared weak with its army torn apart by internal strife
The publication of the Israeli laser defense system timeline might have also accelerated Sinwar’s actions
While many Hamas terrorists are still alive in Gaza, Hamas in Gaza is no longer relevant as a threat to Israel However.... Hamas still fights with its remaining forces against the IDF inside the Strip as a guerrilla organization with small coordination capability
Still, no one asked themselves how Hamas in Gaza would react to the elimination of Sinwar, its leader
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Hamas’s only success is, its ability to hold Israeli and other hostages
Days earlier, Israel successfully completed the first phase of the ground operation in Gaza, dismantling and destroying Hamas’s military capabilities -- Hamas still firing....
Hezbollah Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah (also later killed by the IDF) as the senior figure in the “resistance” array against Israel, couldn’t sit idle but also couldn’t risk a major war without preparation and after losing the element of surprise
Therefore, Hezbollah joined the fighting minimally and at a high cost as the connection to Gaza affected its decision flexibility
Over nearly a year, it lost considerable capabilities, especially in southern Lebanon (secretly, the IDF used this time to prepare for the invasion of Lebanon, including through special forces operating in Lebanese territory)
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On what we call the “Beeper Night” when those holding the activation mechanism faced a use-it-or-lose-it crisis and decided to push the button – the war in Lebanon also began in full force on Israel’s initiative
Thus, with almost perfect timing between sectors, Israel, even if by chance, became free to deal with the threat from the north right before the “Beeper Night”
