Old article but most still ring true, in thisterrorwar.... including regarding Hezbollah
Extracts:
Defeating terorrism
For her book “How Terrorism Ends” the Carnegie Mellon scholar Audrey Kurth Cronin looked at about 460 terrorist groups to investigate how they were defeated, 1. Trying to beat them with military force alone rarely works 2. The root causes have to be addressed
As the retired general David Petraeus reminded his audience recently at the New Orleans Book Festival,
Quote
“Over time, hearts and minds still matter”
Israel also has to offer the world, a vision for Gaza’s recovery and it has to do it right now
the veteran Middle East observer Dennis Ross argues,
Quote
after the war is over, the core logic of the peace has to be demilitarization in exchange for reconstruction
In an essay in Foreign Affairs, Ross sketches out a comprehensive rebuilding effort, bringing in nations and agencies from all over the world, so Gaza doesn’t become a failed state or remain under Hamas control
vicious enmity
Is any of this realistic given the vicious enmity now ripping through the region? Well, many peace breakthroughs of the past decades happened after one side suffered a crushing defeat
Egypt established ties with Israel after it was thoroughly defeated in the Yom Kippur War
When Israel attacked Hezbollah in southern Lebanon in 2006 the world was outraged But after the fighting stopped, some Lebanese concluded that Hezbollah had dragged them into a bloody, unnecessary conflict
The Hezbollah leader [now deceased] Hassan Nasrallah, was forced to acknowledge his error, saying,
Quote
"I didn’t know Israel would react so violently" -- Yet?Hamas did the same 17 years later, October 2023 resulting in the current bloody conflict
The Lebanese border stabilized
Israel’s over-the-top responses have sometimes served as effective deterrents and prevented further bloodshed
Israel and the Palestinians have both just suffered shattering defeats
Maybe in the next few years, 1. they will do some difficult rethinking and a new vision of the future will come into view 2. But that can happen only after Hamas is fully defeated as a military and governing force