Newsweek May 16, 2025

Shira Efron, director of research at the Israel Policy Forum and a special adviser to the Israeli Defense Ministry, felt it would be "hard to find" a path toward a grand bargain that would include Israeli-Palestinian peace and Israeli-Saudi normalization.

With "the zone of possible cooperation" narrow, she argued that the alternative to watch for would be "the zone of possible coercion."

"Will Trump be interested in forcing Israel's hand to accept a full ceasefire? I am not sure," Efron said.
"Can Netanyahu choose the latter course — yes, but then he loses his coalition, which he is unwilling to risk for now."

"Clearly, Trump's unique style, unexpected behavior, his approval ratings in Israel, and after the precedent of the Zelensky 'treatment,' Netanyahu has far less tools to protest the Trump administration's actions that concern Israel," she added.

Still, Efron noted that support for Israel remains a major component of U.S. foreign policy, and a belief deeply held by a number of influential figures, including those within Trump's administration.

As such, she was skeptical that Trump would go too far in alienating Netanyahu as he counted on drumming up domestic support confused He acts like he doesn't need domestic support -- One man executive power rolleyes for potential deals with Iran and Saudi Arabia, both of which remain controversial among his support base.

"Rather than a real rift here — although time will tell — I think we have clocks that are not synchronized, with Trump being impatient and wanting to cut deals quickly and Netanyahu, in his usual playbook, playing for time," Efron said.

"The president, seeing his America First interests, is not going to wait for Netanyahu."
Thus far, she said, Trump's actions indicate "that the president really puts America first." — Israel who panic