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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236574
04/21/04 04:05 AM
04/21/04 04:05 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Quote:
Originally posted by Irishman12:
Man, another 60+ night for me! WOO HOO! Now I'm having fun
You bet. But keep it down, Fun isn't allowed in the game. You will get Pee upset.

Some of my best times were down in the basement.
(wipes a tear from his eye)

If only you could get on top of LDV, now you would be talking FUN! and another mile marker that you will always remember at your age.

Bethie, haven't you been teaching this kid anything down in the basement? Take the rookie under your....WING, yes that is right wing.

OH, and Another Happy Birthday wish to you, You can never have to many. After all it only comes once a year.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236575
04/21/04 04:32 AM
04/21/04 04:32 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Hey Bethie, I just noticed that there is Woody today for your Birthday! Now isn't that something special. Are you going to have Woody pitch for/to you?


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236576
04/21/04 05:19 AM
04/21/04 05:19 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
SC Offline
Consigliere
SC  Offline
Consigliere

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
Wednesday

DB...932...Ariz
PL...867...Cleve
JG...841...Mets
FS...773...Balt
BD...765...Cleve
SC...710...Mets
LD...701...Oak
IM...674...Oak
MC...579...Cleve


.
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236577
04/21/04 07:13 AM
04/21/04 07:13 AM
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 69,718
The Villa Quatro
Irishman12 Offline
UNDERBOSS
Irishman12  Offline
UNDERBOSS

Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 69,718
The Villa Quatro
That's ok fathersson, I'm not worried about plaw, he's not my daddy! This is a fantasy league right? What, are we not supposed to have fun? Are we communist or what?? :p

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236578
04/21/04 07:33 AM
04/21/04 07:33 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by J Geoff:
Of course, pitching is everything. But, such stats aren't.

Of course, I'm looking at "last week"... it will normalize itself soon enough for the season....

A W is only worth 5 pts. Can't worry yourself about that, only. :p
Obviously, ERA has the most predictive value with respect to a league member's number of pitching points. Since everyone starts each day with a positive pitching total 27, it's earned runs allowed that have the biggest impact. An extra point, plus or minus, for a strikeout, hit walk, etc. doesn't mean a heck of a lot in the long run.

But wins are the second most important pitching stat though, since it's an all or nothing 5 points. It's like almost two extra earned runs your PS did or did not allow, which I think you'd agree is extremely significant.

To say that "A Win is only worth 5 pts. Can't worry yourself about that, only." is plain silly. Earned runs allowed and Wins are the two most important pitching ststs in the game.

As far as the stats "normalizing" themselves, I agree.

I'd guess that at season's end, the guy with the best W-L Record also has the best ERA and the most pitching points, and is the winner.

And that the guy with the second best W-L also has the second best ERA and the second most pitching points, and finishes second.

It may not follow exactly right down the line, but I bet it's real, real close, just as it was last year. Hell, it's close already.

Last week's wild fluctuations between W-L and ERA were due strictly to games when a PS got badly beat up on, as such fluctuations usually are.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236579
04/21/04 08:49 AM
04/21/04 08:49 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by fathersson:
For crying out loud DB, you coppied five of my players and took my pitching staff.

Cut that crap out!
Copied five of your players and took your pitching staff??? In the immortal words of Arnold Jackson, "Whatchoo talkin' 'bout Willis??"

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236580
04/21/04 08:50 AM
04/21/04 08:50 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by Beth E:
How did Sidney do for you tonight DB? Those guys are on FIRE!
:D Thank you Crabby! Your boys did great for me last night!

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236581
04/21/04 08:51 AM
04/21/04 08:51 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by Irishman12:
How can you copy if you can't see other players rosters??
Don't worry about it IM... You'll soon find out that FS has no idea what he's talking about 90% of the time! :p

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236582
04/21/04 08:52 AM
04/21/04 08:52 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
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Posts: 4,595
Sorry, I should have typed BD.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236583
04/21/04 09:10 AM
04/21/04 09:10 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
[quote]Originally posted by Irishman12:
[b] How can you copy if you can't see other players rosters??
Don't worry about it IM... You'll soon find out that FS has no idea what he's talking about 90% of the time! :p [/b][/quote]I guess playing around with all those young girls have made my head go soft. But what a way to go!


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236584
04/21/04 09:20 AM
04/21/04 09:20 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by fathersson:
I guess playing around with all those young girls have made my head go soft. But what a way to go!
Sometimes, you just make it way too easy, FS. :rolleyes:

I'll leave this one to Buffy or Crabby! They like to pick on low hanging fruit! :p

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236585
04/21/04 09:30 AM
04/21/04 09:30 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
OH shit, I just caught that too...

Oh well, when the work is done and done well, even the little head gets to relax. Good thing he show up to work when needed and ready to work at that.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236586
04/21/04 09:32 AM
04/21/04 09:32 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 14,900
Beth E Offline
Crabby
Beth E  Offline
Crabby

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 14,900
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
[quote]Originally posted by fathersson:
[b]I guess playing around with all those young girls have made my head go soft. But what a way to go!
Sometimes, you just make it way too easy, FS. :rolleyes:

I'll leave this one to Buffy or Crabby! They like to pick on low hanging fruit! :p [/b][/quote]Yup, playing with girls usually does make it go soft. I have a Woody today for my birthday, so no worries. But I'm like the Statue of Liberty: "Bring me your tired, poor and huddled masses".


How about a little less questions and a lot more shut the hell up - Brian Griffin

When there's a will...put me in it.
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236587
04/21/04 09:35 AM
04/21/04 09:35 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
And here I am waiting for DB's comments on my analysis of JG's comments about the pitching stats, and this is what I get :rolleyes:

Bethie I'll excuse 'cause it's her birthday, but the rest of you should be ashamed of yourselves. :p


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236588
04/21/04 09:39 AM
04/21/04 09:39 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Quote:
Originally posted by Beth E:
Yup, playing with girls usually does make it go soft. I have a Woody today for my birthday, so no worries. But I'm like the Statue of Liberty: "Bring me your tired, poor and huddled masses".
Yes, Bethie, That is your Birthday Woody !

as far as the statue thing...sounds like you are looking for all the street people in New York.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236589
04/21/04 09:41 AM
04/21/04 09:41 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Bethie, No wonder the basement apartment looks the way it does!


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236590
04/21/04 09:44 AM
04/21/04 09:44 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Hold your horses, plaw... I was getting to it...

I agree more with you plaw... ERA and win/loss, in that order, are the most important stats in this game when it comes to pitching. The trouble with analyzing last week, as JG did, is that we all, save BD, did poorly. Lots of wild high scoring wins and even more significantly, some of us had negative scores to skew our points. Negative scores are outliers for all of us and will tend to skew any analysis.

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236591
04/21/04 09:48 AM
04/21/04 09:48 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
And here I am waiting for DB's comments on my analysis of JG's comments about the pitching stats, and this is what I get :rolleyes:

Pee would you like to comment about all the new pitchers out there this year. Some young guns with little or no records and do you think it is wise to pick them so early in the year. Or do you go with some older guys who may not have it every time out anymore?


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236592
04/21/04 09:51 AM
04/21/04 09:51 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by fathersson:
do you go with some older guys who may not have it every time out anymore?
They have pills for that.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236593
04/21/04 09:55 AM
04/21/04 09:55 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
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Posts: 4,595
Well, we all know that Pitching can give you the most points in any one section of this game. But it comes with the chance of also giving you negative points. True not very often, but there still is a chance. A guy goes 0-4 or doesn't play doesn'thelp you that night, but he doesn't hurt you either. Now if a guy did go 0-4 and they took some points away then that would take it to a whole new level.

Those pitching points really come into play during those double headers. Now the swing can be big. Some players don't play both games, but the PS does.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236594
04/21/04 09:56 AM
04/21/04 09:56 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
[quote]Originally posted by fathersson:
[b] do you go with some older guys who may not have it every time out anymore?
They have pills for that. [/b][/quote]By the way does your insurance cover that for you?


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236595
04/21/04 10:03 AM
04/21/04 10:03 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Don't know. Haven't needed the pills yet.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236596
04/21/04 10:15 AM
04/21/04 10:15 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Keep your HEAD up. They say that there is someone for everyone out there.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236597
04/21/04 10:20 AM
04/21/04 10:20 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by fathersson:
Well, we all know that Pitching can give you the most points in any one section of this game. But it comes with the chance of also giving you negative points. True not very often, but there still is a chance. A guy goes 0-4 or doesn't play doesn'thelp you that night, but he doesn't hurt you either. Now if a guy did go 0-4 and they took some points away then that would take it to a whole new level.
The occasional negative total you get from pitching (which makes pitching even more important) notwithstanding, the bottom line is that over the course of the season you can expect to get about 30% of your total points from pitching, so pitching is by far the most important facet of the game since the amount of salary cap value you spend is dis-proportionately low for the number of points you get.

As far as a guy not playing or going 0-4 not hurting you, I would disagree.

I think DB can explain this better than I can, since he probably knows the correct terminoly, but I'll give it a quick shot:

I'd guess that, on average, you can expect to get about 25-30 points a night from offense. A great nght would be about 60. An unbelievable night would be about 80. A horrible night is about 10. It's kinda like the +27 you start with every day in pitching, and then add and subtract from there.

So your expected value, per player, is about +2.5 or +3. When a guy gets zero, in effect, he has hurt you in a negative way because you got no points.

Think of it this way: The realistic potential spread in offensive points for a day is anywhere from 0 to 80, with an expectancy of about 25 or 30. So the guy that goes 0-4, in effect, got you a -4 for the night.

Same thing in pitching, except the fluctuation goes from maybe +40 to -40.

I'm not getting my point across, I know. DB?


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236598
04/21/04 10:42 AM
04/21/04 10:42 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
I understand what you are saying about a player still hurting you if he goes 0-4 say. I guess what I should have said is that a player can only add to your total, but pitching can make your total backslide and take away positive numbers already put up by another hot player.

You may miss your chance to get score from a player, but he is not going to put you in a hole like pitching can.

I feel that if you can get 20 points from ps and another 3points Avg. per player then you have done all right for that night. Hell, if you can avg. 40-50 points per night you would be doing fine.

Seems a lot harder to do each night then people think. Look how the Astro's let me down last night. I feel like I had a good team last night. Got great dollar value in every position. Sure I would admit that I could do more research on the day to day players habits and such, who catches for who and who plays when others aren't but you know I like time for other things in life.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236599
04/21/04 10:43 AM
04/21/04 10:43 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
You made sense to me, plaw.

If the expected value of an offensive player is 2.5 points and he goes 0-4 or doesn't play, you just lost 2.5 points that another position has to make up. It hurts you a little bit.

The issue we run into (and what I think FS is trying to say) is that, relatively speaking, an offensive player doing badly won't hurt you as much as your PS doing badly. We all know that, and we all know that it's really an unfair comparison. We all would rather have a player go 0-4 than have our pitching staffs get shellacked.

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236600
04/21/04 10:48 AM
04/21/04 10:48 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Isn't this more fun than talking about woodies, and "pills for that", and spanking, and masturbation, and such? :p

Intelligent discourse among educated men.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236601
04/21/04 10:54 AM
04/21/04 10:54 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
Isn't this more fun than talking about woodies, and "pills for that", and spanking, and masturbation, and such? :p

Intelligent discourse among educated men.
Is that you or your Paxill speaking?


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236602
04/21/04 10:57 AM
04/21/04 10:57 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Ok, I was just joking.

Tell me. Do you think that the player values go up a lot more then they come down. It seems like they raise at the drop of a hat, but don't come down when a guy doesn't do as well, as quickly.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #236603
04/21/04 10:58 AM
04/21/04 10:58 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
or they stay the same without dropping as much as they should.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
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