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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240175
10/07/04 02:28 PM
10/07/04 02:28 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by SC: my scores were (mathematically) most consistent. To win you have to be consistently good. You were consistently good enough to finish 6th. I guess that means your scores were the most consistently mediocre. :p
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240177
10/07/04 02:38 PM
10/07/04 02:38 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902 New York
SC
Consigliere
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Consigliere

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
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Originally posted by plawrence: To win you have to be consistently good.
You were consistently good enough to finish 6th. I guess that means your scores were the most consistently mediocre. I didn't say anything about winning. This game isn't about winning. If you don't believe me just ask FS. (I'm going to hell, aren't I?)
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240178
10/07/04 02:43 PM
10/07/04 02:43 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by Don Sicilia: Seriously FS... that Rant Alert would have been nice...
What's weird was that it was totally uncalled for? Not meaning to say that you shouldn't have written it (God knows that you have that speech down verbatim), but that none of the back and forth before your post even hinted that an FS comeback rant was necessary. Don't pick on my pal FS. That was an All-Time Great Rant, and I, for one, am glad he wrote it. I've already PMed the highlights to several members who might otherwise miss it.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240180
10/07/04 02:46 PM
10/07/04 02:46 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by Don Sicilia: Consistency, at least statistically, is measured by standard deviation... I used to know how to figure that. Could you refresh my memory?
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240182
10/07/04 02:50 PM
10/07/04 02:50 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by Don Sicilia: It was great the first time I heard it, the eighteenth time I heard, the 259th time I heard it... :p Yeah, but he never summed it all up so succinctly. We got bits and pieces before, but never all rolled into one like this. And the phrasing..... You guys are full of shit..... I know shit about baseball and I could put numbers up.....Looking at this and looking at that and looking at this other crap.......spending the time, and not just one night a week but EVERY FUCKIN DAY...... And don't feed me that 10 mins a day crap.....
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240183
10/07/04 02:50 PM
10/07/04 02:50 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
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Originally posted by plawrence: [quote]Originally posted by Don Sicilia: [b] Consistency, at least statistically, is measured by standard deviation... I used to know how to figure that. Could you refresh my memory? [/b][/quote]Standard Deviation is the square root of variance, which is calculated by: As you can see from the formula, it's essentially a measure of the difference between a group of sample points versus the mean of all the sample points.
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240184
10/07/04 02:56 PM
10/07/04 02:56 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by Don Sicilia: As you can see from the formula... The only thing I can see from that formula is that I think we all may be going off the deep end. 
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240189
10/07/04 03:15 PM
10/07/04 03:15 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335 New Jersey, USA
J Geoff
OP
The Don
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OP
The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
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Originally posted by Don Sicilia: Standard Deviation is the square root of variance, which is calculated by:
Are you trying to confuse him? Plaw, use one of these instead:  or There's a simpler version here with lecture notes to refresh that 30-yr lapse of study.
I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey!  lol Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240191
10/07/04 03:20 PM
10/07/04 03:20 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Can't take it? Hell, I loved it because you were almost right on the money with most of what you said. And my GF already told me I can't play next year. But don't worry, I'll be back. I have the whole off-season to work on her. You'll be back, too. Cutting grass, grilling, hanging flower baskets, and hoisting beers with the girls can get pretty boring after a while.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240195
10/08/04 06:08 AM
10/08/04 06:08 AM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Friday
SC 203 44 247 JG 202 04 206 PL 190 12 202 Should I bother?
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240196
10/08/04 07:28 AM
10/08/04 07:28 AM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by DonMichaelCorleone: To be completly honest with you plaw, I do not know much about baseball and the rules (if you couldn't tell) as I only started watching it 2 years ago. I still don't know nearly as much as you guys do about the SPORT itself but I do have a background with fantasy sports (basketball mostly and some football) So even though I don't know much about the rules and things like that, I know about good/bad hitters and pitchers and know how to work with them.
and if I do crack the top 3???? Well.... Baseball is a different game, obviously, than basketball or football. One of the things we talked about last year when playing "Salary Cap" basketball was that it was almost strictly a numbers game. The players are fairly consistent, at least much more so than in baseball. Except in rare cases, a guy who averages 20 PPG and 10 rebounds is gonna come pretty close to his 20 & 10 every night. A Point Guard who averages 10 assists is gonna get his 8-12 assists as long as he plays his 35 minutes. So it becomes a game, really, of trying to fit the greatest number of expected points each day into a lineup that stays under the salary cap. It really doesn't matter who the players are. You could just give us the stat lines for all the centers and leave out their names, and we could pick a reasonably decent team. The game was, more than anything, a mathematical exercise. In fact, we had a few players in last years game who professed to know nothing about basketball past Kobe, Shaq, and a few of the big names, and, while they didn't win, they didn't embarrass themselves either. Baseball is different though. The best hitters go 0-4, the best pitchers come up with minus totals, and the cheapest players sometimes explode for big nights. There's a lot more study required in the baseball game, and a lot more luck involved as well. There are also some nuances in the strategy which I won't share here, but which I can tell from looking at their selections every day, that the better players have picked up to some extent or another, while the weaker players haven't. But the biggest single factor that leads to success is, as we've discussed before and what FS pointed out so beautifully in yesterday's rant, that you have to be prepared to play every single day.DB and I were separated by 159 points over the course of more than 180 days. That's less than a point a day difference. Having the Milwaukee PS and Ben Sheets on Monday, and then not changing your team and winding up with a Wes Obermueller on Tuesday is the sure road to ruin. Missing a doubleheader on a day when the guy in front of you scores 90, and you get 40, can be suicide. In two years, we've played four "halves" of fantasy baseball, and DB, JG, and myself have finished 1-2-4, 1-2-4, 1-2-3, 1-2-3. The biggest single reason for that record of consistency, I believe, is that betwen the three of us we've missed a total of three days in two years. Also, the history of our game has been that once people start to fall further and further behind they tend to lose interest and stop playing. You don't have any track record yet, so we'll see. Perhaps the salary cap basketball game will give us a better idea. Can you crack the top three? I guess it's possible. I certainly wouldn't completely rule it out. But it won't be easy.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240197
10/08/04 02:51 PM
10/08/04 02:51 PM
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Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
DonMichaelCorleone
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Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
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Originally posted by plawrence: Friday
SC 203 44 247 JG 202 04 206 PL 190 12 202 Should I bother? plaw points jump very quickly. One of the teams I had during the regular season was in 6th place in the league the whole season and then the last 2 days I got 391 and 286 points and moved into first. A score of about 150 is normal (at least for regular season) and you can have scores around 300-400 on a good day so you are nowhere near "out of it"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240198
10/08/04 03:16 PM
10/08/04 03:16 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335 New Jersey, USA
J Geoff
OP
The Don
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OP
The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
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2 free trades/week is utterly ridiculous, tho. And the game interface is terrible. So don't count me in during the regular season w/ this game... :p 
I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey!  lol Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240200
10/08/04 04:03 PM
10/08/04 04:03 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
RIP StatMan
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RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by plawrence: Should I bother? What I meant was, should I bother posting the scores every morning. This is a stoopid-a-fockin' game, and I've pretty much lost interest already. DB had the right idea. Not playing was the smart move. DB was always smarter.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240201
10/08/04 04:05 PM
10/08/04 04:05 PM
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Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
DonMichaelCorleone
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Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
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Originally posted by plawrence: [quote]Originally posted by plawrence: [b] Should I bother? What i meant was, should i bother posting the scores every morning. This is a stoopid-a-fockin' game, and I've pretty much lost interest already. DB had the right idea. Not playing was the smart move. DB was always smarter. [/b][/quote]oh my mistake. It's definitly not a game for everyone. I just suggested it because you guys seemed to want to play fantasy post season and that was the only one still available that I knew of. Sorry everyone.
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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004
#240203
10/08/04 05:31 PM
10/08/04 05:31 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335 New Jersey, USA
J Geoff
OP
The Don
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OP
The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
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I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey!  lol Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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