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Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240174
10/07/04 02:26 PM
10/07/04 02:26 PM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Eat your hearts out....Hey, be quiet Pee, before I get on the phone and get the low down from you girlfriend. Then we will really find out how much time you spend. and then maybe we will also hear how little time it takes you to do other things. That is if you can do those other things yet.....


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240175
10/07/04 02:28 PM
10/07/04 02:28 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
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plawrence  Offline
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by SC:
my scores were (mathematically) most consistent.
To win you have to be consistently good.

You were consistently good enough to finish 6th. I guess that means your scores were the most consistently mediocre. :p


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240176
10/07/04 02:34 PM
10/07/04 02:34 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Seriously FS... that Rant Alert would have been nice...

What's weird was that it was totally uncalled for? Not meaning to say that you shouldn't have written it (God knows that you have that speech down verbatim), but that none of the back and forth before your post even hinted that an FS comeback rant was necessary... :rolleyes:

In any case, whatever floats your boat.

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240177
10/07/04 02:38 PM
10/07/04 02:38 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
SC Offline
Consigliere
SC  Offline
Consigliere

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
To win you have to be consistently good.

You were consistently good enough to finish 6th. I guess that means your scores were the most consistently mediocre.
I didn't say anything about winning. This game isn't about winning. If you don't believe me just ask FS.

(I'm going to hell, aren't I?)


.
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240178
10/07/04 02:43 PM
10/07/04 02:43 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
Seriously FS... that Rant Alert would have been nice...

What's weird was that it was totally uncalled for? Not meaning to say that you shouldn't have written it (God knows that you have that speech down verbatim), but that none of the back and forth before your post even hinted that an FS comeback rant was necessary.
Don't pick on my pal FS.

That was an All-Time Great Rant, and I, for one, am glad he wrote it.

I've already PMed the highlights to several members who might otherwise miss it.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240179
10/07/04 02:44 PM
10/07/04 02:44 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
As Plaw so eloquently put it previously, you can be consistently good or consistently bad... Consistency, at least statistically, is measured by standard deviation...

Below is the ranking of our standard deviations from our own means...

FS - 57.7
SC - 59.3
DB - 62.1
MC - 63.0
PL - 66.4
JG - 74.7
CB - 97.1
DMC - 117.4

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240180
10/07/04 02:46 PM
10/07/04 02:46 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
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plawrence  Offline
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
Consistency, at least statistically, is measured by standard deviation...
I used to know how to figure that.

Could you refresh my memory?


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240181
10/07/04 02:46 PM
10/07/04 02:46 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
Don't pick on my pal FS.
I'm not picking on him. Just making an observation.

Anyway, I agree - that was a great rant. It was great the first time I heard it, the eighteenth time I heard, the 259th time I heard it, he was a little off during his 795th time, but picked it up quite nicely the 1068th time I heard it.. :p

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240182
10/07/04 02:50 PM
10/07/04 02:50 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
It was great the first time I heard it, the eighteenth time I heard, the 259th time I heard it... :p
Yeah, but he never summed it all up so succinctly.

We got bits and pieces before, but never all rolled into one like this.

And the phrasing.....

You guys are full of shit..... I know shit about baseball and I could put numbers up.....Looking at this and looking at that and looking at this other crap.......spending the time, and not just one night a week but EVERY FUCKIN DAY...... And don't feed me that 10 mins a day crap.....


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240183
10/07/04 02:50 PM
10/07/04 02:50 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
[quote]Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
[b] Consistency, at least statistically, is measured by standard deviation...
I used to know how to figure that.

Could you refresh my memory? [/b][/quote]Standard Deviation is the square root of variance, which is calculated by:



As you can see from the formula, it's essentially a measure of the difference between a group of sample points versus the mean of all the sample points.

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240184
10/07/04 02:56 PM
10/07/04 02:56 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
As you can see from the formula...
The only thing I can see from that formula is that I think we all may be going off the deep end.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240185
10/07/04 03:00 PM
10/07/04 03:00 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
SC Offline
Consigliere
SC  Offline
Consigliere

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:

OMG.....its a double yolk egg in between the parenthesis.


.
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240186
10/07/04 03:01 PM
10/07/04 03:01 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Pretty straightforward to me... Well, I did have my last statistics class about 5 years ago compared to your 30...

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240187
10/07/04 03:02 PM
10/07/04 03:02 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by SC:
[quote]Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
[b]
OMG.....its a double yolk egg in between the parenthesis. [/b][/quote]

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240188
10/07/04 03:07 PM
10/07/04 03:07 PM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
fathersson Offline
Underboss
fathersson  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 4,595
Sure, A guy wants to air out his mind after a long season and you just can't take it. But yet, I have to listen to all your lists of numbers and why you pick this guy and this team and what % this is and what % that is. :rolleyes:
No wonder the girls left-
The hell with you- I don't think I will play next year! :p and if you don't act better Pee your GF will not let you play either.


ONLY gun owners have the POWER to PROTECT and PRESERVE our FREEDOM.
"...it is their (the people's) right and duty to be at all times armed" - Thomas Jefferson, June 5, 1824

Everyone should read. "HOW TO KILL A MOCKING BIRD"

CAUTION: This Post has not been approved by Don Cardi.

You really don't expect people to believe your shit do you?

Read: "The Daily Apple"- Telling America and the Gangster BB like it really is!
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240189
10/07/04 03:15 PM
10/07/04 03:15 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
J Geoff Offline OP
The Don
J Geoff  Offline OP
The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
Standard Deviation is the square root of variance, which is calculated by:

Are you trying to confuse him?
Plaw, use one of these instead:

or



There's a simpler version here with lecture notes to refresh that 30-yr lapse of study.



I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey! tongue lol

Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin

My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240190
10/07/04 03:18 PM
10/07/04 03:18 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by fathersson:
Sure, A guy wants to air out his mind after a long season and you just can't take it.
I didn't say I couldn't take it... just wanted to know that basis of it. Just seemed really random...

Anyway, like I said, whatever floats your boat.

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240191
10/07/04 03:20 PM
10/07/04 03:20 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by fathersson:
Sure, A guy wants to air out his mind after a long season and you just can't take it. But yet, I have to listen to all your lists of numbers and why you pick this guy and this team and what % this is and what % that is. :rolleyes:
No wonder the girls left-
The hell with you- I don't think I will play next year! :p and if you don't act better Pee your GF will not let you play either.
Can't take it? Hell, I loved it because you were almost right on the money with most of what you said.

And my GF already told me I can't play next year. But don't worry, I'll be back. I have the whole off-season to work on her.

You'll be back, too. Cutting grass, grilling, hanging flower baskets, and hoisting beers with the girls can get pretty boring after a while.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240192
10/07/04 03:20 PM
10/07/04 03:20 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by fathersson:

The hell with you- I don't think I will play next year! :p
Then who's going to finish in 5th place then?? :p

Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240193
10/08/04 01:42 AM
10/08/04 01:42 AM
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
DonMichaelCorleone Offline
DonMichaelCorleone  Offline

Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
Not to take anything away from DMC's achievement (seriously), but in my opinion, the last week was strategy-filled - leading us to pick players that we normally wouldn't on the basis of going "unpredictable" and playing defense.

In any case, I look forward to having DMC for an entire year next year - if he's still around.
yup you are right DS. It was my own personal achievement but when I saw Plaw taking the Orioles because the 2nd place person would, I realized the last week was not "competitive".

I'll be around for next year and for basketball.


"You gave your word, I never gave mine"
http://s2.gladiatus.us/game/c.php?uid=88380
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240194
10/08/04 01:47 AM
10/08/04 01:47 AM
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
DonMichaelCorleone Offline
DonMichaelCorleone  Offline

Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
Quote:
DMC may kick all our asses if he plays next year. No more PL/DB/JG Top Three if DM's last week is any indication.
If you believe that one, I got a bridge to sell 'ya. How much can this kid know about baseball? He's the one who asked if a starting pitcher had to go a minimum number of innings to be charged with a loss. [Roll Eyes] No way he cracks the top three.
To be completly honest with you plaw, I do not know much about baseball and the rules (if you couldn't tell) as I only started watching it 2 years ago. I still don't know nearly as much as you guys do about the SPORT itself but I do have a background with fantasy sports (basketball mostly and some football) So even though I don't know much about the rules and things like that, I know about good/bad hitters and pitchers and know how to work with them.


and if I do crack the top 3????


"You gave your word, I never gave mine"
http://s2.gladiatus.us/game/c.php?uid=88380
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240195
10/08/04 06:08 AM
10/08/04 06:08 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Friday

SC 203 44 247
JG 202 04 206
PL 190 12 202


Should I bother?


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240196
10/08/04 07:28 AM
10/08/04 07:28 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
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Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by DonMichaelCorleone:
To be completly honest with you plaw, I do not know much about baseball and the rules (if you couldn't tell) as I only started watching it 2 years ago. I still don't know nearly as much as you guys do about the SPORT itself but I do have a background with fantasy sports (basketball mostly and some football) So even though I don't know much about the rules and things like that, I know about good/bad hitters and pitchers and know how to work with them.

and if I do crack the top 3????
Well....

Baseball is a different game, obviously, than basketball or football.

One of the things we talked about last year when playing "Salary Cap" basketball was that it was almost strictly a numbers game.

The players are fairly consistent, at least much more so than in baseball. Except in rare cases, a guy who averages 20 PPG and 10 rebounds is gonna come pretty close to his 20 & 10 every night. A Point Guard who averages 10 assists is gonna get his 8-12 assists as long as he plays his 35 minutes.

So it becomes a game, really, of trying to fit the greatest number of expected points each day into a lineup that stays under the salary cap. It really doesn't matter who the players are. You could just give us the stat lines for all the centers and leave out their names, and we could pick a reasonably decent team.

The game was, more than anything, a mathematical exercise. In fact, we had a few players in last years game who professed to know nothing about basketball past Kobe, Shaq, and a few of the big names, and, while they didn't win, they didn't embarrass themselves either.

Baseball is different though. The best hitters go 0-4, the best pitchers come up with minus totals, and the cheapest players sometimes explode for big nights. There's a lot more study required in the baseball game, and a lot more luck involved as well.

There are also some nuances in the strategy which I won't share here, but which I can tell from looking at their selections every day, that the better players have picked up to some extent or another, while the weaker players haven't.

But the biggest single factor that leads to success is, as we've discussed before and what FS pointed out so beautifully in yesterday's rant, that you have to be prepared to play every single day.

DB and I were separated by 159 points over the course of more than 180 days. That's less than a point a day difference.

Having the Milwaukee PS and Ben Sheets on Monday, and then not changing your team and winding up with a Wes Obermueller on Tuesday is the sure road to ruin. Missing a doubleheader on a day when the guy in front of you scores 90, and you get 40, can be suicide.

In two years, we've played four "halves" of fantasy baseball, and DB, JG, and myself have finished 1-2-4, 1-2-4, 1-2-3, 1-2-3. The biggest single reason for that record of consistency, I believe, is that betwen the three of us we've missed a total of three days in two years.

Also, the history of our game has been that once people start to fall further and further behind they tend to lose interest and stop playing. You don't have any track record yet, so we'll see. Perhaps the salary cap basketball game will give us a better idea.

Can you crack the top three? I guess it's possible. I certainly wouldn't completely rule it out. But it won't be easy.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240197
10/08/04 02:51 PM
10/08/04 02:51 PM
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
DonMichaelCorleone Offline
DonMichaelCorleone  Offline

Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
Friday

SC 203 44 247
JG 202 04 206
PL 190 12 202


Should I bother?
plaw points jump very quickly.

One of the teams I had during the regular season was in 6th place in the league the whole season and then the last 2 days I got 391 and 286 points and moved into first.

A score of about 150 is normal (at least for regular season) and you can have scores around 300-400 on a good day so you are nowhere near "out of it"


"You gave your word, I never gave mine"
http://s2.gladiatus.us/game/c.php?uid=88380
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240198
10/08/04 03:16 PM
10/08/04 03:16 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
J Geoff Offline OP
The Don
J Geoff  Offline OP
The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
2 free trades/week is utterly ridiculous, tho. And the game interface is terrible. So don't count me in during the regular season w/ this game... :p



I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey! tongue lol

Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin

My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240199
10/08/04 03:27 PM
10/08/04 03:27 PM
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
DonMichaelCorleone Offline
DonMichaelCorleone  Offline

Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
Quote:
Originally posted by J Geoff:
2 free trades/week is utterly ridiculous, tho. And the game interface is terrible. So don't count me in during the regular season w/ this game... :p
lol I know what you mean. I am not playing as many teams as I did this year for next year. I like espn better, and espn at least updates the scoring live not like them where you wait til the end.

The trades just make you pick the people for the "season" rather than for the "game". It's fun but I see how much better espn is so I look forward to that more.


"You gave your word, I never gave mine"
http://s2.gladiatus.us/game/c.php?uid=88380
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240200
10/08/04 04:03 PM
10/08/04 04:03 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
Should I bother?
What I meant was, should I bother posting the scores every morning.

This is a stoopid-a-fockin' game, and I've pretty much lost interest already.

DB had the right idea. Not playing was the smart move. DB was always smarter.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240201
10/08/04 04:05 PM
10/08/04 04:05 PM
Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
DonMichaelCorleone Offline
DonMichaelCorleone  Offline

Joined: Aug 2004
Posts: 7,950
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
[quote]Originally posted by plawrence:
[b] Should I bother?
What i meant was, should i bother posting the scores every morning.

This is a stoopid-a-fockin' game, and I've pretty much lost interest already.

DB had the right idea. Not playing was the smart move. DB was always smarter. [/b][/quote]oh my mistake.

It's definitly not a game for everyone. I just suggested it because you guys seemed to want to play fantasy post season and that was the only one still available that I knew of.

Sorry everyone.


"You gave your word, I never gave mine"
http://s2.gladiatus.us/game/c.php?uid=88380
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240202
10/08/04 04:07 PM
10/08/04 04:07 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline
RIP StatMan
plawrence  Offline
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
Who's blaming you?

I'm blaming Geoff.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: Baseball Challenge 2004 #240203
10/08/04 05:31 PM
10/08/04 05:31 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA
J Geoff Offline OP
The Don
J Geoff  Offline OP
The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,335
New Jersey, USA



I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey! tongue lol

Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin

My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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