Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
Below is my first tinker of the scoring.... Let me know what you think...


Like you hadda ask... :p

I think an interception or a fumble lost should be worth half of a touchdown, since it either deprives the offensive team of a good scoring opportunity, or sets up the defensive team with good field postion.

I'd make each of those worth -3 instead of -2.

I agree with JG about the missed FG's. I'd even go further.

Field Goals Missed 0-19 Yards (-3)
Field Goals Missed 20-29 Yards (-3)
Field Goals Missed 30-39 Yards (-2)
Field Goals Missed 40-49 Yards (-1)
Field Goals Missed 50+ Yards (0)

Given the efficiency of pro kickers, missing one under 29 yards almost always costs their team 3 points, so the penalty for missing one should be the same.

The other negative values reflect the opposite of what I would think the positive expectancy would be for an attempt of that length (I know I didn't put that exactly right, but I'm sure you know what I mean )

As far as points allowed goes....

Points Allowed 0 points (10)
Points Allowed 1-6 points (7)
Points Allowed 7-13 points (4)
Points Allowed 14-20 points (1)
Points Allowed 21-27 points (0)
Points Allowed 28-34 points (-1)
Points Allowed 35+ points (-4)

I'm thinking in terms of how many points a defense allows which really puts their team in a good position to win, and how many they allow which will make it almost impossibe for their team to win.

I'm also keeping in mind that in these kinds of games, the offense is a lot more important than the defense.

That said, I'd go with the following, altho what it really comes down to is "how important do you want to make defense in this league?"

Her's how I figured it:

The maximunm number of points should be 14.

At each level, I estimated what percentage chance the team had of winning the game if their defense allowed that many points, and assigned that value, as a percentage, or close to it, of 14.

Once the defense gives their team less than a 50% chance of winning, the point value should be negative.

Code:
            Percentage
Points      Chance of 
Allowed      Winning       Value
-
   0          100%           14
  0-6          95%           13
   7           90%           12
  8-10         85%           11
  9-12         75%           10
 13-16         70%            9
 17-20         60%            8
  21           50%            0
 22-24         30%           -4
 25-27         15%           -8          
 28-31         10%          -12 
 32-34          5%          -13
  35+           0%          -14
OK.

First of all, I understand that this system places more importance on defense than these games usually do.

I also realize that my percentage chances of winning are not necessarily accurate, but merely guesses on my part, and that the point values do not exactly correlate to the chances of winning percentages.

Maybe you want to tweak this a bit, or a lot. You could collapse the values from +/- 14 down to +/- 10, for example. Or increase the increments.

But I definitely think that when a defense gives their team a great chance to win they should be properly rewarded, and when they give their team little or no chance to win they should be properly penalized.

"Difficult....not impossible"