Originally posted by J Geoff: How does this make any sense??
Code:
IP W L OUT H ER BB K PTS
SP Carpenter 7 21 4 1 6 6 15
RP Rodney 2 1 6 3 2 1 3 -13
Rodney x3 6 18 9 6 3 9
So.... 2 ER in 2 innings, even tho Ks were much better, and BBs were much better... comparible IP/OUTs... You can't really assume x3 would be accurate, but still -- a 28 pts difference???
Someone wanna explain that to me, please.... :rolleyes:
I think the above may qualify as a whine; I'm not sure. :p
Anyway, here's the explanation:
First of all, how are the IP/OUTS and ERs allowed comparable?
Carpenter pitched 7 innings and Rodney only 2.
Carpenter allowed 1 earned run and Rodney allowed 2.
More than three times as many IPs for Carpenter, half as many ERs allowed.
Most importantly, though, you left out the -6 for the save opportunity (which was not offset by the +8 for the save), so the -13 includes that 6 points, and if you want to compare it exactly with Carpenter, figure it as a -7.
I've already said that I think that a flaw in the scoring system is that it penalizes a RP twice in these situations: -6 for the loss and -6 for the blown save (see my chart above).
I think that a pitcher - a "closer", who is theoretically the top guy on his team at that job, not a #4 or #5 starter, for example - who comes into a game with a lead to protect, in a game where his team has kinda mentally put the game into the win column already, who proceeds to turn the win into a loss has done a lot more damage to his team than when a #5 starter loses the game (I know, a loss is a loss, but stil.....).
But that said, I do think -as the chart shows - that the negative score in those cases is a little disproportionate in relation to the act, and I'd likr to figure out a way to adjust it for next season so that the guy is not charged a -12 because he had a blown save and a loss.