Originally posted by Just Lou: [quote]Originally posted by plawrence: [b] JL got the best of that one, IMO.
Honestly, I don't think I did. Johnson has slightly better fantasy numbers than Blalock, and A-Rod has much more value than Carpenter (on paper). Right now though, Carpenter is exactly what I need. I wasn't going to win with my SP pitching the way they were. [/b][/quote]Here's a better analysis of the trade, with some similarities i guess, than the one I wrote before:
Comparing A Rod's Value with Carpenter's is totally meaningless.
You have to compare A Rod's value with the guy you're gona replace him with and Carpenter's value with the guy you're gonna replace with him.
If A Rod is woth 1000 points and Carpenter only 500, what difference does that make if you're gonna replace A Rod with a guy who will score 900, while using Carpenter to replace a guy who will score only 300?
I figure your gain with Carpenter instead of whoever will be greater than your loss with Blaylock instead of A Rod.
From JG's POV, IMO, he'll get a smaller gain from the use of A Rod instead of Blaylock than his loss will be from using whoever he uses instead of Carpenter.
So for JG, the trade will have a negative effect on his final total, while for JL the effect will be a positive one.
Another way to look at the trade is like this:
Johnson has scored 172 points in 45 games, an average of 3.72 FPPG.
Whoever JL replaces him with, or whoever JG replaces by using Johnson, should be roughly good for the same score, so Johnson is really a spare part.
So the trade comes down to Blaylock for A Rod, which is an advantage to JG, except that JG threw in Carpenter, which tips the scales decidedly in JL's favor.