Projected Standings

ACTUAL
Code:
     
     OPU  OPTS    SPU  SPTS    RPU  RPTS    Total
-
JL   591  2121     77   624    140   392     3137
JG   572  1835     77   861    132   389     3085
TM   532  1979     78   790    121   248     3017
PL   570  2034     70   661    151   272     2900
DB   551  2235     67   325    145   346     2906
This is strictly an off-the-top-of-my-head estimate, but what happens if we get the top 5 on equal footing;

Each with 591 offensive games and 78 starts.....

Let's give JL 8 more points for the one start he's short

Let's give JG 67 more points for the 19 offensive games he's short, and 11 points for the one start he's short.

Let's give TM 219 more points for the 59 offensive games he's short.

Let's give PL 75 more points for the 21 offensive games he's short, and 76 more points for the 8 starts he's short.

And let's give DB 162 more points for the 40 offensive games he's short, and 53 more points for the 11 starts he's short.

PROJECTED

Code:
     
     OPU  OPTS    SPU  SPTS    RPU  RPTS    Total
-
TM   591  2198     78   790    121   248     3236
JG   591  1902     78   872    132   389     3163
JL   591  2121     78   632    140   392     3145
DB   591  2397     78   378    145   346     3121
PL   591  2109     78   737    151   272     3118
It all comes down to the starting pitching.

The points I added on were based on the average FPPG for everyone's starts up to know.

But obviously, DB is doing better and will probably average better than the 5 SP PPG or so that I projected for him.

On the other hand, without Pujols, DB's offensive output will probably be worse.

JG's offensive production should be better with A. Rod, but maybe worse without Sheffield.

Without A. Rod, though, JL's offensive PPG average that I based his projection on may be lower the rest of the way.

Etc.....

"Difficult....not impossible"