All what?

I've been singing this same song for weeks already.

I'd be saying exactly the same thing about the raw totals vs. projections if Capuano had gotten me 10 points tonite instead of 41.

And why should you worry if someone trades me a decent SP?

After all, you have a 300 point lead. :rolleyes:

Because for weeks you've been after an All-Star Kick-Ass No-Balks-Barred SP rotation -- even tho you have almost no offense left. (That's called a joke :p )

(But still, if anyone trades him a decent SP....... :p )

I knew you weren't going to trade Capuano after last night, and I also knew you would have accpeted it the night before it. That's ok. Trust me. I'd still rather have Carpenter than Capuano, and Atkins had more points than Dunn in June.


PS: I'm about around even at every position except one in which I'm +2. So don't get your hopes up. I've even behind a game or 2, at 1 or 2 positions.

I didn't think you were way ahead of yourself or anything, or even hoping that you were (altho it would have been nice... ).

JG is conveniently forgetting that it was I who showed him how to manage that aspect of the game during the basketball season, so when I say that I don't expect to have a problem (excet maybe at catcher, where I suspect we all will) in making up my missing games, I know of what I speak.

Thursday
Raw Point Totals
Analysis: JG vs. PL

I'll try and make this a daily feature.

I know it'll bore the rest of you, but it fascinates me and even though JG doesn't believe in projections or predictions based on projections, I'm pretty sure he'll be taking a peek every day also..

Nice gain for PL yesterday, thanks to Cappy.

Offense: PL uses up two more games than JG, but gains 15 points, about 8 or so over his average.

So we'll call that +8 for PL on offense.

(JG has used 748 games, and PL 745, so if JG thinks it's gonna be tough for PL to make up his missing games, I guess he must think it's gonna be just as tough for him to do it.)

Starting Pitching: PL uses one start while JG doesn't use any.

But in case you missed it, that start was worth 41 points to PL.

Based on his average of about 1s FPs per start, that works out to +27 for PL on starting pitching.

Relief Pitching: +9 for JG

New Projection:

PL has 3 offensive games to make up, worth 10 points.

PL has 16 Pitching Starts to make up. Based on the current average of his 5 starters of 13.64 FPPG, those 16 starts figure to be worth 218 points.

So, adding 228 points to PL’s raw score, that leaves him 40 points behind JG, plus whatever JG can add to his lead in Relief Pitching.

I'm also figuring to do much better on offense the rest of the way.

If you look at my offensive totals for last month, I had a whole bunch of big name guys who did basically nothing, which was the main factor contributing to my 5th place standing.

I expect them to all do better the rest of the season.

Guys like Tejada, Jones, and Burrell didn't just lose it over night (I hope).

And I would've been even more ahead had I not lost D Lee and Sheff, if A-Rod didn't slump so badly, and whatever the hell happened to Kent... :p

You want to up the ante, maybe?

You seem very confident, and you do have that big lead in points, which means everything :rolleyes:

It doesn't have to be money - Like if you lose the penalty could be that you have to use my avatar for three months, with the title "plawrence is my idol", or something like that.

A knife to my heart, TM.... a knife to my heart.

When it comes to decisions that effect the game or the players, I am always 100% impartial, and would never make a decision based on my own self interest.

But as far as giving out information that helps the other plays go, especially after I'm the one who digs up the information.....

Of course I have to be competitive. I'm playing, aren't I?
:p [/b][/quote]don't take it thaaat serious, PL just a little bit. I think I'll end up offering you money to do that

TM, don't believe that "knife to my heart" garbage. He used it on me, too.

As long as I'm snooping around in this thread, let me say that I now see why Plaw doesn't have time for BBC anymore. He's too busy making bets and talking trash in here! :p

I'll be patiently waiting for JG to give it PL, after tonight's scores are all in.

I was just gonna say... hey... so what about your 41 pts... I think I got the record now! :p

BUT, I'm sure PL will somehow use his "crafty finagling" to somehow twist it around to make it work to his advantage...! :rolleyes: :p

Not to even mention... that I got 101 pts tonight and he got 22... SOMEHOW he's gonna claim that he decreased his deficit -- watch! :p

You say the silliest things sometimes. :rolleyes:

So silly that it makes me wonder if you really understand what the hell I'm talking about half the time.

But then I think back to how I know you in "real life" and how you're a smart guy and everything, and I say to myself "Nah...he's just being a ballbreaker."

Anyway.....

Here I am, away until Monday night.

I was here once before about two years ago, and one of the amenitites that aided the selection process was the computer that they had which was available for the guests to use.

Well, the computer is still here, but now it's hooked up to a credit card swiper at $12 an hour.

A reasonable price, and you guys are certainly worth it, but I'm afraid that I have to sadden you all by saying that I won't be making any lengthy posts or calculating any standings or projections.

As far as last night goes, an amazing performancxe by Lackey....

Retiring the last 27 guys in a row, reminds me a famou game back in the early 1920's maybe, when Babe Ruth was a pitcher and still with the Red Sox.

It went something like this:

He started the game, walked the lead-off batter, and got ejected for arguing the call with the umpire.

So a reliever, Ernie Shore, came in and the guy on base was either thrown out stealing or erased in a double play, and then Shore proceeded to retire 26 or 27 in a row - a perfect relief appearance in which he got 27 outs.

As far as last night goes (and Lackey's 50 was the high game of the season and probably one of the highest - if not the highest - "game scores" in who knows how long - here's how I figure it for "projection purposes":

Lackey and Zambrano combined for 71 points.

Since my FPPG average is around 14, that 71 is worth +43 to JG.

In other words, when I make up those two starts all I can expect to get is 28 points.

So no, I'm not gonna try and argue that I decreased my deficit last night.

So much for that! Have fun, Plaw!

Friday
Analysis: JG vs. PL
JG kicked PL's butt.

So much for that! Have fun, Plaw! [/quote]I hope he stays away from the computer while he's away, otherwise he's not going to be very happy.

I'm surely not very "happy" with my "offense" today... 2/33 :rolleyes:

Saturday
Analysis: JG vs. PL
EVERYONE kicked PL's butt.

this is was the last great performance by Smoltz this year. he and the Braves are done. but hey, this guy Weaver is a phenom. he didn't do anything wrong his whole career so far.

Wrong, wrong, wrong....

Call it "Fuzzy Math" if you insist - that only makes me question yet again if you really do understand what I'm talking about here with this stuff, or if you're simply breaking balls.

Here's how I analyze "JG vs PL" yesterday; The correct way.

Offense: JG used 9 players and got 4 points. PL used 10 players and got 17 points.

One extra player used by PL, 13 points from that extra player.

About 9 points above average, so that's a +9 for PL

Starting Pitching: JG uses one start, gets 22 points, abbout 8 above average.

So that's a +8 for JG.

Relief Pitching: JG 4, PL -3, so that's a +7 for JG.

Net for the Day: +7 for JG.

A "Butt Kicking" my ass. :rolleyes:

Key day for me today, with four SPs going - a good example of a day which illustrates the meaninglessness of JG's 300-400 point lead when PL has 15 or so starts in hand.

I better get at least my average of 55-60 points from the four of them, but 70-80 would be nice

Give PL credit. He can get a 14 for the day, and still make it seem like it wasn't bad at all.

I was so close to letting him go after they sent him to AAA. It would have been the worst move since I released Ryan Howard in April.

You have only 3 now: JSantana, Halladay and Haren.
Patterson lasted only 1 inning for some reason, with a -3. :p

I have 3 going today, too: Schmidt, Robertson, ESantana... guess we'll see, huh? :p

If my four outscore your three by more than 14 points, I figure that's a plus for me.

Or, to put it another way, let's see by how much, if anything, my four outscore your three.

If your three score, say 40, and my four score, say 70, I figure I gain 30 points, minus whatever your FPPG average start is.

I hope you're following all this....I know you consider it fuzzy math, but I assume that's only because it's fuzzy to you.

I know JL, DB, and TM follow it perfectly.
Well, DB and TM, anyway..... :p

I understand perfectly what you're talking about -- I always have -- but what's that they said about a bird in the hand? :p The points I have cannot be taken away: Yet you're speculating on future points you don't even have yet, and who knows, you may never get. :p

P.S. I think you missed the part where you lost a SP, so you only have 3 going. :p

Wow, plus we're head-to-head with Haren vs ESantana

PL's Starters:

Halladay: 27
JSantana: 0
Patterson: -3
Haren: -5

4 STARTS: +19 (4.75 pts/start) Tho, 37 pts of offense sure beats my 9. :rolleyes:

JG's Starters:

ESantana: 23
Robertson: 8
Schmidt: -1

3 STARTS: +30 (10 pts/start) Tho, Cordero wiped that all away with his -25 relief performance. :rolleyes:

Well, DB and TM, anyway..... :p [/b][/quote]I can't wait to hear how using 4 SP + 3 RP for 17 points equals a positive day. :p

I think I can answer that myself. JG used 4 SP and 4 RP for 8 points.

Sunday - Last Day of First Half
Analysis: JG vs. PL
Okay, maybe we both sucked in pitching... :p