Logic says you're right. Though this is competitive sport and the beauty of it is that there's always surprises. Remember Senegal, Korea and Ireland in '02? There's a few sleeper teams here too: Paraguay - did pretty well to finish 4th in the South American group, USA look to be a good side but are unlucky to face Italy and Czech Republic in their group. Australia also looks good but again, like USA, have a tough group.

I can't wait. I hate non World Cup or European Championship summers.