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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273499
05/02/06 06:20 AM
05/02/06 06:20 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 8,389
Staten Island / New Jersey
Just Lou Offline
Just Lou  Offline

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Staten Island / New Jersey
I have an excuse for playing like shit this season. I'm making a lot of picks based on my 'draft team', so I'm not playing against myself everyday.

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273500
05/02/06 06:56 AM
05/02/06 06:56 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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That's silly, I think. I treat the two games separately. Let the chips fall where they may

What are you saying, that you didn't want to pick Buehrle or Santana today because people have them in the Yahoo game, so you picked Duke?

And I'm a little confused here. If you're making your picks based on the Yahoo game, and you're doing well in that, you should be doing well in this game too.

At least if one of them does well today, it's not a total loss for you if you picked one of them instead od Duke, but if Duke bombs, you're screwed in both games.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273501
05/02/06 08:50 AM
05/02/06 08:50 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

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Or he could be saying that he has a bunch of players in the Yahoo game batting against Santana and he'd be in a no-win (or no-lose, if you're an optimist )situation.

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273502
05/02/06 09:17 AM
05/02/06 09:17 AM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 18,238
The Ravenite Social Club
Don Cardi Offline
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Plaw, I bet myself on the opening 99 - 1 line. Now I want to hedge my original line bet on a game by game basis. Can you put me in touch with your Vegas connection?


Don Cardi



Don Cardi cool

Five - ten years from now, they're gonna wish there was American Cosa Nostra. Five - ten years from now, they're gonna miss John Gotti.




Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273503
05/02/06 11:04 AM
05/02/06 11:04 AM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,190
Brazil
Tony Mosrite Offline
Underboss
Tony Mosrite  Offline
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Brazil
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:

"TM is probably a great bet at 7-1, if you believe he won't miss any days....he already has enough of a cushion to miss at least one day, anyway....."
in fact, even I don't believe myself :p 2nd and 3rd of June, for instance, I'll be out and I still don't know what I'm gonna do about it.


"I'm just a humble motherfucker with a big ass dick"
The Bunk
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273504
05/02/06 11:32 AM
05/02/06 11:32 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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Quote:
Originally posted by Don Cardi:
Plaw, I bet myself on the opening 99 - 1 line. Now I want to hedge my original line bet on a game by game basis. Can you put me in touch with your Vegas connection?
Game by game is so chancey, and there's so much luck involved, that with our ten-player league if you want to bet on an individual day before the pitching choices are posted the odds usually range from only about 8-1 to maybe 12-1.

If you wait until after the pitching choices are posted, then you can get a little bit better price.

Like the other day when JL took the Giants' Cain, he was probably about 15 or 18-1 to win the day against pitchers like Schilling and Mussina, or the day you had Chacin against Willis, Peavy, and Schilling.

Anyway, unless you're really confident with one of those "unpredictable" picks (like Chacin), there's probably too much luck involved and the odds too short for it to pay to bet on a day-by-day basis.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273505
05/02/06 11:40 AM
05/02/06 11:40 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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Of course (cough) if you're looking for a little, um, "monetary" action on the side, I know of someone in the league who might be interested in accomodating you.

He's been known to offer odds, too, or perhaps even a spot....


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273506
05/02/06 11:55 AM
05/02/06 11:55 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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Even though technically she didn't "play" yesterday - her team was a leftover from a few days ago - I believe that LZ set a record for futility yesterday.

Two runs scored and four walks, but only one measly single - one "total base" - in 30 ABs.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273507
05/02/06 01:01 PM
05/02/06 01:01 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 18,238
The Ravenite Social Club
Don Cardi Offline
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Don Cardi  Offline
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Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
Of course (cough) if you're looking for a little, um, "monetary" action on the side, I know of someone in the league who might be interested in accomodating you.

He's been known to offer odds, too, or perhaps even a spot....
No odds. I want a money line.


Don Cardi



Don Cardi cool

Five - ten years from now, they're gonna wish there was American Cosa Nostra. Five - ten years from now, they're gonna miss John Gotti.




Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273508
05/02/06 01:45 PM
05/02/06 01:45 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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How about something like so much per point, and you get, say, 3-2 odds?

Like if you win you get maybe 30 cents a point, but if your opponent ( :rolleyes: ) wins he gets only 20 cents a point?

Or do you mean a straight side bet, regardless of the points differential - whoever has more points at the end is the winner - and you get, say 3-2 money odds or something?


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273509
05/02/06 02:49 PM
05/02/06 02:49 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333
New Jersey, USA
J Geoff Offline
The Don
J Geoff  Offline
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New Jersey, USA
Hey Gina - Your PM box is full... wanted to ask when your trip was...



I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey! tongue lol

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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273510
05/02/06 03:30 PM
05/02/06 03:30 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 8,389
Staten Island / New Jersey
Just Lou Offline
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 8,389
Staten Island / New Jersey
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
That's silly, I think. I treat the two games separately. Let the chips fall where they may
It's just weird rooting for 1 person in one game, and against them in the other. I'm not picking exactly the same team as my Yahoo team, but it has affected my pitching and 'superstar' choices.

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273511
05/02/06 04:14 PM
05/02/06 04:14 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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I hear 'ya, but with pitchers at least it's kinda like hedging your bet.

If you had taken Santana today, if he does well it hurts you in the Yahoo game because I have him, but at least you derive some benefit from him because you have him in the Salary Cap game.

And if Duke does poorly today, at least you don't get hammered in both games.

Of course if he does well - as it looks like he is - you get double the benefits.

I dunno - weird or not - I still say it's two separate games and I want to make my choices based on whatever I think is best for each game separately.

And let me throw this wrinkle into the discussion:

If we were playing for money, would that change your thinking?

You know how I feel about that - play the same way regardless.

Not counting LZ (who isn't really "playing" either game), there are 6 of us playing both games.

Anyone else with a comment?


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273512
05/02/06 04:21 PM
05/02/06 04:21 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 8,389
Staten Island / New Jersey
Just Lou Offline
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Posts: 8,389
Staten Island / New Jersey
Duke is pitching a shutout in the 8th inning.

....If I were playing for money, my picks would be different.
Right now, my picks lean on what won't hurt my Yahoo team too much.

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273513
05/02/06 04:44 PM
05/02/06 04:44 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 18,238
The Ravenite Social Club
Don Cardi Offline
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Don Cardi  Offline
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Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
How about something like so much per point, and you get, say, 3-2 odds?

Like if you win you get maybe 30 cents a point, but if your opponent ( :rolleyes: ) wins he gets only 20 cents a point?

Or do you mean a straight side bet, regardless of the points differential - whoever has more points at the end is the winner - and you get, say 3-2 money odds or something?
Sounds good! But I was only joking around Plaw. The hedge that I was talking about is the bet placed to hedge the other one where that you've already locked in.

Last July, when I was in Vegas I put 100 "points" down on the NFL GIANTS to win the SuperBowl getting 60 - 1. Once they made it to the playoffs I hedged that bet by taking the other team that they were playing and would have considered doing so every week until they went into the SuperBowl. So basically I locked in some "points" by hedging that SB bet because as you know they got knocked out and although my SB bet became null and void, I made some "points" back the other way.

That's the kind of hedge I was talking about in my other post.

Ask Don T how I "scored points" during the football season playoffs by Hedging straight bets made in the early games with under and over bets/teasers in the later ones.

Anyway we are already a month into the season. If you would have proposed some kind of "friendly" wager before the season started, well then maybe I would have considered it. Keep it in mind for when Hockey and Football season rolls around.


Don Cardi



Don Cardi cool

Five - ten years from now, they're gonna wish there was American Cosa Nostra. Five - ten years from now, they're gonna miss John Gotti.




Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273514
05/02/06 05:44 PM
05/02/06 05:44 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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I dunno, DC....

I do my gambling for money...dollars....cash....coin of the realm....that stuff I can spend to buy things....

I don't understand this business with "points".

What are you doing? Hiding from the I.R.S. by calling money "points".

Quote:
Originally posted by Just Lou:
....If I were playing for money, my picks would be different.
Right now, my picks lean on what won't hurt my Yahoo team too much.
I don't get it.

Why would it make a difference if you were playing for money?

It seems to me that if I am the best player in both games - or if anyone is for that matter, not necessarily me, - then all things being equal (I'm speaking here of the "lucky breaks" evening out), that person should win both games, regardless of whether or not their picks in one game are counter to their picks in the other.

Just make what you think are the right moves in both games, and if you're the best player why wouldn't you win both games?

Interesting argument. I'm curious to know what DB thinks here.

DB?

And, just curious here....What made you place the Yahoo game at a higher level of importance than the Salary Cap game?

From all that you've said, it appears as though you'd prefer to win that one.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273515
05/02/06 06:04 PM
05/02/06 06:04 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 5,032
Texas
ginaitaliangirl Offline
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Posts: 5,032
Texas
Quote:
Originally posted by J Geoff:
Hey Gina - Your PM box is full... wanted to ask when your trip was...
Geoff, it's clear, now - sorry about that.

The trip is the 4th through the 9th - Thursday through Tuesday.

This whole thing might be a false alarm if I don't get the chance to set lineups in advance. I'm working on it...

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273516
05/02/06 06:39 PM
05/02/06 06:39 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

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Posts: 7,361
You know, this situation is a bit similar to fantasy football.

If you have LaDanian Tomlinson and the Denver Defense but in a particular week, San Diego is playing Denver, most people believe that you play LDT or Denver, but not both. I tend to agree with this line of reasoning but in some cases, I may go against it.

What does this all have to do with baseball?

I may be wrong here but it appears JL is placing more importance to the Yahoo game and is making his picks in the salary cap game that won't hurt his Yahoo team. If he has a bunch of Yahoo players hitting against Schilling, he won't pick Schilling or conversely, he loves his pitchers on his Yahoo team and will pick them in the Salary Cap game to "double" up. It's almost psychological.

People can play any strategy they want and JL's is one strategy in dealing with both games. My particular strategy is to look at my pitchers in the Yahoo game and NOT pick them in the salary cap game.

In any case, game theory dictates that players make choices to maximize their "returns", however they define it. Looking at it this way, if JL feels that winning the Yahoo game is more important, then his choices in the salary cap game make sense.

PL is obviously looking at things differently. He wants to win both games (equally?) and is making choices in both games independently.

I tend to agree more with PL that the games (and the choices I make) are mostly independent.

Sorry for the economics lecture!

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273517
05/02/06 06:55 PM
05/02/06 06:55 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
it appears JL is placing more importance to the Yahoo game and is making his picks in the salary cap game that won't hurt his Yahoo team.
That's what I said
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
And, just curious here....What made you place the Yahoo game at a higher level of importance than the Salary Cap game?

From all that you've said, it appears as though you'd prefer to win that one.


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273518
05/02/06 07:18 PM
05/02/06 07:18 PM
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,190
Brazil
Tony Mosrite Offline
Underboss
Tony Mosrite  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 2,190
Brazil
Quote:
Originally posted by Don Sicilia:
People can play any strategy they want and JL's is one strategy in dealing with both games. My particular strategy is to look at my pitchers in the Yahoo game and NOT pick them in the salary cap game.


I can say that one game has absolutely no effect in the other for me.


"I'm just a humble motherfucker with a big ass dick"
The Bunk
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273519
05/02/06 07:21 PM
05/02/06 07:21 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 18,238
The Ravenite Social Club
Don Cardi Offline
Caporegime
Don Cardi  Offline
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Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
I dunno, DC....

I do my gambling for money...dollars....cash....coin of the realm....that stuff I can spend to buy things....

I don't understand this business with "points".

What are you doing? Hiding from the I.R.S. by calling money "points".

Actually our little Gina would understand why I use the term "points." Right Gina?


Don Cardi



Don Cardi cool

Five - ten years from now, they're gonna wish there was American Cosa Nostra. Five - ten years from now, they're gonna miss John Gotti.




Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273520
05/02/06 08:12 PM
05/02/06 08:12 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 5,032
Texas
ginaitaliangirl Offline
ginaitaliangirl  Offline

Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 5,032
Texas
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
You are my protege.....You will take over for me some day.....I'm trying to teach you everything about Fantasy Baseball that I know.
You think too much of me. Even if I did take over, I'd never live up to your standards. This is, of course, if I'm still allowed to play fantasy again. I'm actually having to consider whether studying for an exam is more important than the Astros and BBC.

Oh, in regards to that post of yours...in the words of TM, "like you really mean the ' ' " :p

Cardi, I'd love to contribute, but I just can't quite understand why you're referring to points as a "term"...? Ain't no term. Points are points.

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273521
05/02/06 08:39 PM
05/02/06 08:39 PM
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 18,238
The Ravenite Social Club
Don Cardi Offline
Caporegime
Don Cardi  Offline
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Quote:
Originally posted by ginaitaliangirl:
[QUOTE]Originally posted by plawrence:
[qb]Cardi, I'd love to contribute, but I just can't quite understand why you're referring to points as a "term"...? Ain't no term. Points are points.
That's my girl!


Don Cardi



Don Cardi cool

Five - ten years from now, they're gonna wish there was American Cosa Nostra. Five - ten years from now, they're gonna miss John Gotti.




Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273522
05/02/06 09:11 PM
05/02/06 09:11 PM
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 4,206
Los Angeles
Letizia B. Offline
Underboss
Letizia B.  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Apr 2004
Posts: 4,206
Los Angeles
Quote:
Originally posted by ginaitaliangirl:
...in the words of TM, "like you really mean the ' ' " :p
That's gonna be a classic around here, I can tell. Look what you did, TM. :p

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273523
05/03/06 06:13 AM
05/03/06 06:13 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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The Slippery Slope
Great day for CC yesterday with one of the highest single-game day scores of the season, moving her back into second place.

Also, with the surprise NY-Bost rainout and the "resting" ( :rolleyes: ) of Pujols and Edmonds (can someone please explain to me why a healthy 26-year old athlete at his peak - and one of the hottest hitters in baseball, besides - who makes I dunno how many millions of dollars a year - needs a day off and can't play a day game after a night game?), possibly a record number of DNPs yesterday - twenty .

Everyone on the Pedro bandwagon today, except for our non-playing player, LZ.

Tuesday's Scores & Wednesday's Probables & Standings
Code:
TM  1391 Min (34)  44  1435  Mets  Martinez  5-0  2.94    
CC^ 1322 Min (34)  78  1400  Mets
DB  1340 Min (34)  50  1390  Mets
PL  1334 Min (34)  45  1379  Mets
GG  1300 Det (27)  57  1357  Mets 
JL^ 1259 Pit (28)  62  1321  Mets 
DC  1283 CWS (-6)  18  1301  Mets
JG  1231 Det (27)  54  1285  Mets 
SC  1070 CWS (-6)  29  1099  Mets   
LZ  1000 Bos (00)  20  1020  Bost  Beckett  3-2  4.50 
   


"Difficult....not impossible"
Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273524
05/03/06 09:36 AM
05/03/06 09:36 AM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Don Sicilia Offline
Don Sicilia  Offline

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,361
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
That's what I said
I was agreeing with you.

Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273525
05/03/06 09:50 AM
05/03/06 09:50 AM
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plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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Yeah, I know....In any case, I'm wondering why JL regards the Yahoo game with more importance.

I guess maybe I should be flattered

I sorta figured that I would enjoy the Yahoo game more and would prefer to win that one as opposed to the Sal Cap game, but the BB in general seems to regard the Sal Cap game with more importance (more players - especially with the 3 "non-players" in the Yahoo game, leaving 6 active particpants, vs. 9 active participants in the Sal Cap game - more posts since the games started, the Yahoo game seems, I dunno, more "specialized"), so I think I would actually prefer to win that one if I could only win one and had a choice.

Plus, this is the first time for the Yahoo game, and I guess I really do want to prove that "last year was a fluke."


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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273526
05/03/06 12:33 PM
05/03/06 12:33 PM
Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333
New Jersey, USA
J Geoff Offline
The Don
J Geoff  Offline
The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333
New Jersey, USA
Quote:
Originally posted by plawrence:
Everyone on the Pedro bandwagon today
Damn... I knew I should've gone w/ Maddux... (well, we'll see I guess )



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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273527
05/03/06 01:05 PM
05/03/06 01:05 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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Maddux on the road.....Pedro vs. one of the worst teams in baseball so far.....

Wouldn't it be something, though, if after three mediocre seasons, Maduux (at age 40) went and put together a season or two that resembled his peak years of the early and mid-nineties?

From 1992 thru 1998, 7 seasons, Maddux was 127-53 (.706), an average season of 18-8, with an E.R.A. of around 2.20 or so.

From 1992 thru 2002, an amazing 11 year run, he was 198-88 (.692), still an average season of 18-8, with an E.R.A. of around 2.45 or so.

This year he's off to a 5-0 start with a 1.35 E.R.A..

I don't think anyone expects him to go 30-0 with an E.R.A. under 1.50, but how about a 20-5 with a 2.25 or something, which would be similar to his 1997 season (19-4, 2.20)?


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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game) #273528
05/04/06 05:48 AM
05/04/06 05:48 AM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
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plawrence Offline OP
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plawrence  Offline OP
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Pedro and a Mets win in extra innings helps everyone to a 37 in pitching yesterday, which is great except when everyone gets the same score. :rolleyes:

At least JG is happy he didn't go with Maddux.

And another miserable day on offense for nearly everyone, too, with only DB (36) cracking 30.

It's usually been one thing or another.

In general, as a group and individually, we've rarely been able to put offense and pitching together on the same day.

Wednesday's Scores & Thursday's Probables & Standings
Code:
TM  1435 Mets (37)   58  1493  CWS  Contreras  4-1  1.45  
DB^ 1390 Mets (37)   73  1463  CWS
CC  1400 Mets (37)   50  1450  StL  Carpenter  4-2  1.80
PL  1379 Mets (37)   61  1440  StL
GG  1357 Mets (37)   62  1419  CWS
JL  1321 Mets (37)   47  1368  NYM  Glavine    4-2  2.29
DC  1301 Mets (37)   56  1357  NYM
JG  1285 Mets (37)   47  1332  NYM
SC  1099 Mets (37)   52  1151  NYY  Johnson    4-2  4.71
LZ  1020 Bost (-10)   5  1025  Bos  Clement    3-2  6.14
   


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