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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273770
05/31/06 01:07 PM
05/31/06 01:07 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
RIP StatMan
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The Slippery Slope
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Interesting....
They give you the line on the home team, so in the Pittsburgh game for example, while it says that Pitts is +130, you don't know what the price is on the favorite.
So all of those times you've been posting the highest priced favorite, there might have been some that were an even higher price, but it wouldn't have shown because they were the visiting team.
Their adjusted line here is not worth much without knowing exactly how they compute it, but they do provide some useful information there which I look at already; mainly a teams's record against lefty or righty SPs, and their record on grass fields as opposed to artifical surfaces.
These are "splits" which I believe can establish identifiable and useful trends:
Teams which do better against righty SPs, for example, probably are stronger hitting teams from the left side, so that trend may continue.
Same goes for the characteristics which make some teams better in artificial turf:
An emphasis on speed over power, or a better defensive infield, for example.
On the other hand, a team's reord on Wednesday vs. the other days of the week is fairly useless, I think.
And fear not; Not really any help there for the fantasy player.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273771
05/31/06 01:13 PM
05/31/06 01:13 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
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OP
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BTW, if you want to see the betting lines on both the favorite and the underdog, go HERE Then click on "betting Lines", the "Major League Baseball". Also, keep in mind that the above is a real betting site, so the lines are real - you can actually bet money in them. The Fox Sports lines, while they are probably from a real betting source, are not "real" themselves, since Fox is not running a sports book.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273772
05/31/06 01:24 PM
05/31/06 01:24 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333 New Jersey, USA
J Geoff
The Don
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The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333
New Jersey, USA
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Well, it's not Fox Sports, it's StatFox ... 
I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey!  lol Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273773
05/31/06 02:24 PM
05/31/06 02:24 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
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The Slippery Slope
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Yeah. I didn't notice that. They do, course, give the lines for the underdog as well, which they would have to do since it is a betting site. HERE they are; it's a different page..
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273774
05/31/06 02:50 PM
05/31/06 02:50 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333 New Jersey, USA
J Geoff
The Don
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The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333
New Jersey, USA
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I suppose "Run Line" (which is either +1.5 or -1.5) is who you think will score 2+ runs more than the other team? In the other game, upon looking at these spreads, I was kinda torn btwn starting Francis and/or Hensley -- both whom I have -- hopefully Hensley was the right choice today... No, I probably wouldn't start either as my sole PS in this game Edited 
I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey!  lol Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273776
05/31/06 02:55 PM
05/31/06 02:55 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
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The Slippery Slope
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He's in the wrong thread...he's talking Yahoo
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273777
05/31/06 02:59 PM
05/31/06 02:59 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
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OP
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The Slippery Slope
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The "run line" is like a point spread.
Instead of laying, say 250 to win 100 on a big favorite, you can lay only, say 11-10, or 6-5, or 13-10, but they have to win by more than 2 runs.
If they win by exactly 2 runs, it's "no bet" (a "push"). If the win by less than 2 runs, or lose the game outright, you lose the bet.
If you want the underdog, instead of getting odds of, say, 2 to 1, you get 1 1/2 runs added to their score, so if they win the game outright or lose by only one run, you win your bet.
But remember...you're not getting the fat 2-1 odds anymore. You're now laying 11-10, or getting only even money or something.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273778
05/31/06 03:04 PM
05/31/06 03:04 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
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OP
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Maybe we should combine both games into one thread?
There are 7 of us playing both games.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273779
05/31/06 03:07 PM
05/31/06 03:07 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333 New Jersey, USA
J Geoff
The Don
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The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333
New Jersey, USA
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Ahh, this was always the chit-chat thread of the two... I'll just try to be clearer next time... 
I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey!  lol Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273780
05/31/06 03:08 PM
05/31/06 03:08 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
RIP StatMan
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Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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It was clear to me....I knew what you meant.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273782
05/31/06 03:20 PM
05/31/06 03:20 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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You must know who I have -- you sent me like five trade offers the last week or so  :p
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273784
05/31/06 03:25 PM
05/31/06 03:25 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
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OP
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:rolleyes: Are you kidding? Every one I rejected, I wrote an essay for you on why. Especially that last one...I don't know why you even bothered making it. 
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273785
05/31/06 03:28 PM
05/31/06 03:28 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333 New Jersey, USA
J Geoff
The Don
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The Don

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 31,333
New Jersey, USA
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Wrong thread. :p I thought Plaw was bad, but Douche's trade requests are just crazy! Zambrano AND Schmidt?? Loco I say!! :p 
I studied Italian for 2 semesters. Not once was a "C" pronounced as a "G", and never was a trailing "I" ignored! And I'm from Jersey!  lol Whaddaya want me to do? Whack a guy? Off a guy? Whack off a guy? --Peter Griffin My DVDs | Facebook | Godfather Filming Locations
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273786
05/31/06 03:31 PM
05/31/06 03:31 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
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Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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^ ^ ^ ^ He started it :p 
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273789
05/31/06 03:39 PM
05/31/06 03:39 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Originally posted by Don Sicilia: if the answer to why I shouldn't have even bothered trying the last one is found in one of your essays, I never got it. It was in that little box they give you for comments. You don't get those messages? I remember the last one, though, where you offered me Howard I think. I said I had Dunn for 1B and Hafner for Util, and if I put Dunn in LF, then I had no where to put Burrell, so Howard did me absolutely no good.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273791
05/31/06 03:45 PM
05/31/06 03:45 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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I'm not sure if they go to your email or not; I don't think I ever got one.
"Difficult....not impossible"
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Re: 2006 Baseball Challenge (Salary Cap Game)
#273796
06/01/06 06:42 AM
06/01/06 06:42 AM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058 The Slippery Slope
plawrence
OP
RIP StatMan
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OP
RIP StatMan
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 15,058
The Slippery Slope
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Wednesday's Scores & Thursday's ProbablesThe Mets 47 yesterday was the highest PS score of the seaon.
DB 2793 Atl (24) 38 2831 Oak Zito 5-6 3.16 9.0
TM 2689 NYM (47) 74 2763 TaB Kazmir 8-3 2.86 11.2
PL^ 2661 SaF (35) 63 2724 Oak
JL 2664 Fla (00) 33 2697 Oak
JG 2569 SaF (35) 59 2628 Oak
CC 2387 NYY (31) 41 2428 LAD Lowe 6-5 2.90 9.3
DC 2315 NYM (47) 61 2376 CWS Contreras 5-3 1.83 14.8
SC 2171 NYM (47) 72 2243 CWS
GG 2168 NYM (47) 69 2237 CWS
LZ 1917 LAD (01) 25 1942 Cle Byrd 6-4 5.22 3.0
"Difficult....not impossible"
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