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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: Sicilian Babe]
#514637
10/09/08 02:19 PM
10/09/08 02:19 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,952 It's fun to stay in the YMCA
Turi Giuliano
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,952
It's fun to stay in the YMCA
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Turi, I love reading your posts. First of all, you're so knowledgeable. Secondly, I love getting a different perspective of the whole mess.
Hahah, thanks. I worry that I don't make any sense. But I'm such a loser for getting so involved with it all. I haven't worked with mortgages for 15 months (I've since moved to Deceased and now in Business Banking), never had a mortgage or plan to get one for a long time - however I still follow the markets. One day i'll be boring you about wills, probate and the difference between the US's Trustees verses the UK's Trustees and Executors. 
So die all who betray Giuliano
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: Don Sicilia]
#514639
10/09/08 02:26 PM
10/09/08 02:26 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,952 It's fun to stay in the YMCA
Turi Giuliano
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,952
It's fun to stay in the YMCA
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What I meant by "pegs inflation" is that they target it, which it looks likes they do.
Here in the U.S., besides the rate cut, there's talk that the Fed lend directly to corporations. The fear is that the rate cut will induce borrowing by banks, but instead of passing the new funds to consumers (and each other), they just hoard the money to shore up their own liquidity. Oh yes and one thing I forgot to mention is that our £50b bail out package (named by the media) means that the Government will effectively become shareholders of the recipient companies. If dividends then become payable, the Government then has first rights over them. This is with the view that eventually the Government will reclaim their money and that no more banks will become nationalised. Is that similar to how the Fed will invest?
So die all who betray Giuliano
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: Sicilian Babe]
#514643
10/09/08 02:46 PM
10/09/08 02:46 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,952 It's fun to stay in the YMCA
Turi Giuliano
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,952
It's fun to stay in the YMCA
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What are mortgage rates in the UK?? Here in the US, you can still get rates in the 6-6.5% range. However, if you have a credit score of less than 700, you can forget about getting any credit. If you shop around and are happy to pay a fee of around £1000 (which in most cases gets added to the mortgage) you may get something like a 5.89%. Two years ago I could have offered a 4.99% with only a £500 fee and the difference on a £150,000 mortgage would approximitely be £90/month. I'll spare you all with how a 5.89% with £1000 is more expensive than a 6.19 with no fee over 2 years.
So die all who betray Giuliano
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: Sicilian Babe]
#514663
10/09/08 04:37 PM
10/09/08 04:37 PM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902 New York
SC
OP
Consigliere
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OP
Consigliere

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
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Dow down another 100 points right now. I feel like it's never going to stop. I heard a prediction yesterday that "bottom" could be about 7500. It apparently finished 678 points down. The DJ is now at 8,579... next stop 8,000 (and the way things have been going lately that could be less than one week). I suspect it'll continue to go lower, but not for long. Then there'll be a big buying spree (greed will win out and speculators will step in looking for bargains).
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: olivant]
#514687
10/09/08 06:55 PM
10/09/08 06:55 PM
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,300 New York
Sicilian Babe
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Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,300
New York
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GM is under $5 a share, goombah. It's frightening.
As olivant said, though, if you can, hang in there. It will rebound. It may take longer than anyone expects, and things may get a lot worse before they get better, but they will.
I'm going to predict that after the bailout starts actually making payments in a few weeks, and the election is over, things will rebound in a big way.
President Emeritus of the Neal Pulcawer Fan Club
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: MaryCas]
#514714
10/09/08 09:24 PM
10/09/08 09:24 PM
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 25,984 California
The Italian Stallionette
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 25,984
California
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I'll be the first to admit I know little about Wall Street. Yet, from what I have been hearing, I do believe it is more serious than a lot of people might think. There is no easy fix, purchasing homes and getting loans in general is going to be rough. We see it already with job losses, food prices. I was listening to a Public Radio station the other day and they were taking calls from everywhere. Let's see if I remember this correctly. Some guy who lived in Boston and owned a car dealership (have no idea what kind of dealership) called. He said that his customers are having a hard time getting loans. He told of one lady who had "good" credit (not excellent but good with no credit card debt, etc). He figured she'd qualify easily. He said that the loan company called him and told him that thy'd give that lady the loan IF in the event that they had to reposssess the car, the owner of the dealership would pay the first $1,800 of the loan.  He said in the 20 some years he'd been in the business, he never heard of such a thing.
Last edited by The Italian Stallionette; 10/09/08 09:25 PM.
"Mankind must put an end to war before war puts an end to mankind. War will exist until that distant day when the conscientious objector enjoys the same reputation and prestige that the warrior does today." JFK
"War is over, if you want it" - John Lennon
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: The Italian Stallionette]
#514736
10/09/08 11:20 PM
10/09/08 11:20 PM
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Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030 Texas
olivant
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Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030
Texas
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I'll be the first to admit I know little about Wall Street. Yet, from what I have been hearing, I do believe it is more serious than a lot of people might think. There is no easy fix, purchasing homes and getting loans in general is going to be rough. We see it already with job losses, food prices. I was listening to a Public Radio station the other day and they were taking calls from everywhere. Let's see if I remember this correctly. Some guy who lived in Boston and owned a car dealership (have no idea what kind of dealership) called. He said that his customers are having a hard time getting loans. He told of one lady who had "good" credit (not excellent but good with no credit card debt, etc). He figured she'd qualify easily. He said that the loan company called him and told him that thy'd give that lady the loan IF in the event that they had to reposssess the car, the owner of the dealership would pay the first $1,800 of the loan.  He said in the 20 some years he'd been in the business, he never heard of such a thing. TIS, it's mostly about liquidity. Banks lend to banks witht he Federal Reserve at the top of the pyrimid. If banks don't lend to banks, then liquidity stops. That's what's happening: market to market credit is very limited and may be drying up. Thus peole get laid off and expansion plans are suspended.
"Generosity. That was my first mistake." "Experience must be our only guide; reason may mislead us." "Instagram is Twitter for people who can't read."
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: Sicilian Babe]
#514764
10/10/08 08:01 AM
10/10/08 08:01 AM
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Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 6,762 Anytown, USA
goombah
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Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 6,762
Anytown, USA
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I read many car dealers were essentially telling anybody with less than great credit that 30% downpayment would be required. I can't imagine too many low-to-middle income families have that kind of extra cash in these times.
I'm not mentioning this to get into another political debate. But does anybody else worry that the U.S. might suffer the same fate as the U.S.S.R., when the latter collapsed in the early 90s? I have been frightened of this scenario occurring in the U.S. since Katrina. Particularly because Katrina was preceded by the economic disaster after 9/11, along with the enorumous cost of the Iraq War. And what is one big common factor that the Soviets and U.S. had? We were fighthing bin Laden and Afghanistan. He essentially bled the Soviets to death economically. I think it is obvious that is one of his goals against our country too. I think our capitalistic society is more able to fight back than a communist state, but it is still worriesome.
Granted, the mortgage mess and the credit worries are not related to the wars or bin Laden. But I get the feeling he's laughing somewhere right now at the mess we are in, which he was partly responsible for creating. It's fairly obvious that the billions we have sunk into Iraq a) could have helped rebuild New Orleans, b) been reinvested into better energy plans, c) used in improving our existing infrastructure. What's done is done, we cannot change it. But I sometimes fear that we have played right into the same trap the Soviets did against bin Laden.
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: goombah]
#514770
10/10/08 09:01 AM
10/10/08 09:01 AM
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 25,984 California
The Italian Stallionette
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 25,984
California
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Another tidbit I learned, that most here probably know. Credit card companies could lower your credit limit as well. You know all the "junk" mail we get listing our credit card conditions, etc? Well pay attention because it could be notifying you that your limit has dropped from one amount to another. I paid off credit cards years ago (thank God) and was determined not to use them again if at all possible. Now, when I travel or buy on-line I'll use them, BUT pay them off right away when I get the bill. Oh, another thing, home equity loans too....the mortgage company (or whoever) can suddently notify you that your line of credit is not as much as you think it is. You all probably know this, but just in case.  TIS
Last edited by The Italian Stallionette; 10/10/08 09:02 AM.
"Mankind must put an end to war before war puts an end to mankind. War will exist until that distant day when the conscientious objector enjoys the same reputation and prestige that the warrior does today." JFK
"War is over, if you want it" - John Lennon
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: Just Lou]
#514794
10/10/08 11:42 AM
10/10/08 11:42 AM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902 New York
SC
OP
Consigliere
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OP
Consigliere

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
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The Market has only been open for a few minutes, and the DOW is already down another 700. It's only down 350 points now. It's recovered half of today's loss. The crisis is over!!! 
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: Just Lou]
#514795
10/10/08 11:45 AM
10/10/08 11:45 AM
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Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902 New York
SC
OP
Consigliere
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OP
Consigliere

Joined: Jul 2001
Posts: 22,902
New York
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Evidence of global recession fears were most obvious in the price of crude oil, which briefly plunged below $80 a barrel to its lowest level of the year. However, crude prices recovered along with the equities markets, recently down $5.93 to $80.66 a barrel. Just wait until the OPEC countries vote to slow down production (causing an "artificial" shortage in which prices will rise again).
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Re: What the F*ck is Going On With the Economy?
[Re: goombah]
#514811
10/10/08 02:39 PM
10/10/08 02:39 PM
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Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030 Texas
olivant
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Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030
Texas
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I read many car dealers were essentially telling anybody with less than great credit that 30% downpayment would be required. I can't imagine too many low-to-middle income families have that kind of extra cash in these times.
I'm not mentioning this to get into another political debate. But does anybody else worry that the U.S. might suffer the same fate as the U.S.S.R., when the latter collapsed in the early 90s? I have been frightened of this scenario occurring in the U.S. since Katrina. Particularly because Katrina was preceded by the economic disaster after 9/11, along with the enorumous cost of the Iraq War. And what is one big common factor that the Soviets and U.S. had? We were fighthing bin Laden and Afghanistan. He essentially bled the Soviets to death economically. I think it is obvious that is one of his goals against our country too. I think our capitalistic society is more able to fight back than a communist state, but it is still worriesome.
Granted, the mortgage mess and the credit worries are not related to the wars or bin Laden. But I get the feeling he's laughing somewhere right now at the mess we are in, which he was partly responsible for creating. It's fairly obvious that the billions we have sunk into Iraq a) could have helped rebuild New Orleans, b) been reinvested into better energy plans, c) used in improving our existing infrastructure. What's done is done, we cannot change it. But I sometimes fear that we have played right into the same trap the Soviets did against bin Laden.
The Soviet Union collapsed for a combination of reasons. One important one was the refusal of the international community to value the Ruble as a legitimate currency. Thus, the SU had to accumulate cash to pay its bills, much of it in dollars which at the time so many other national governments were competing for. They were also forced to trade in commodities. Overall, there were significant limits placed on the SU's ability to conduct business. Of course, there was little or no middle class in the SU across which to spur productivity and consumption. There is no parallel with what's going on in the US now. As I posted elsewhere, this Nation's economic power is tremendous and cyclical downturns attended by specific events are inevitable, but will be absorbed.
Last edited by olivant; 10/10/08 02:41 PM.
"Generosity. That was my first mistake." "Experience must be our only guide; reason may mislead us." "Instagram is Twitter for people who can't read."
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