Acording to the film, Carlo was approached by the Barzini people and told to stage this fight with Connie in the knowledge that an incensed Sonny would come charging over and then they could whack him. Its a bit far fetched isn't it? Asking a man to virtually kill his wife and unborn child.
...there's people who would pay a lot of money for that information. But then your daughter would lose a father..instead of gaining a husband.