Yes we are in movie awards season. We have the Globes and 300 other movie-related industry awards groups to give out their paperweight trophies that boost fragile bloated egos. This thursday morning, the 10th at 5:30 in the morning (8:30 East Coast) is when the Oscars announce this year's nominations. Who'll get honored? Who'll get snubbed? Which picks will surprise people?

Anyway the Director's Guild of America (DGA, the Hollywood directors' labor union) announced their nominations today. They're important because they usually nail the names that will get also nominated for the Best Director Oscar. The DGAs and Oscars usually share 4 of the 5 names put forward. Keep that fact in mind.

The 2012 DGA nominees:

Ben Affleck (ARGO)
Kathryn Bigelow (ZERO DARK THIRTY)
Tom Hooper (LES MISERABLES)
Ang Lee (LIFE OF PI)
Steven Spielberg (LINCOLN)

Interesting note: All those nominees above, save for Affleck, have already won the Best Director Oscar. (Spielberg has won it twice, in fact.)

So who will get snubbed at the Oscars for director? I think Affleck/Bigelow/Spielberg are locks. Hooper and Lee are more vulnerable. I say it's Hooper, and he's replaced with Quentin Tarantino.

My predictions for the Oscars -

Best picture - Argo Best Director - Ben Affleck - Argo

Best Actor - Daniel Day Lewis - Lincoln

Best supporting Actor - Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln

Best Actress - Don't know

Best supporting Actress - Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables

I say Jennifer Lawrence, for SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK.

The gurus claim that race is between her and Jennifer Chastain, for ZERO DARK THIRTY.

I've not seen Zero Dark Thirty or Silver Linings playbook yet. Jennifer Lawrence was great in Winter Bone though. Tbh i don't think i've ever seen a movie with Jessica Chastain.

Well the BAFTAs (British Academy of Film and Television Arts) just announced their picks this morning. They're pretty much the British Oscars. I would love for Capo to swoop in and bash them.

The nominees:

BEST FILM
Argo
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM
Anna Karenina
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Les Miserables
Seven Psychopaths
Skyfall

LEADING ACTOR
Ben Affleck - Argo
Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix - The Master

LEADING ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
Marion Cotillard - Rust and Bone
Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
Dame Helen Mirren - Hitchcock
Emmanuelle Riva - Amour

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Alan Arkin - Argo
Javier Bardem - Skyfall
Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master
Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln
Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams - The Master
Dame Judi Dench - Skyfall
Sally Field - Lincoln
Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
Helen Hunt - The Sessions

DIRECTOR
Ben Affleck - Argo
Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty
Michael Haneke - Amour
Ang Lee - Life of Pi
Quentin Tarantino - Django Unchained

RISING STAR (public vote)
Elizabeth Olsen
Andrea Riseborough
Suraj Sharma
Juno Temple
Alicia Vikander

OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER
James Bobin (director) - The Muppets
Dexter Fletcher (director/writer) and Danny King (writer) - Wild Bill
Tina Gharavi (director/writer) - I Am Nasrine
Bart Layton (director) and Dmitri Doganis (producer) - The Imposter
David Morris (director) and Jaqui Morris (director/producer) - McCullin

FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
Amour
Headhunters
The Hunt
Rust and Bone
Untouchable

DOCUMENTARY
The Imposter
Marley
McCullin
Searching for Sugarman
West of Memphis

ANIMATED FILM
Brave
Frankenweenie
Paranorman

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Amour - Michael Haneke
Django Unchained - Quentin Tarantino
The Master - Paul Thomas Anderson
Moonrise Kingdom - Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola
Zero Dark Thirty - Mark Boal

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Argo - Chris Terrio
Beasts of the Southern Wild - Lucy Alibar, Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi - David Magee
Lincoln - Tony Kushner
Silver Linings Playbook - David O. Russell

ORIGINAL MUSIC
Anna Karenina
Argo
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

EDITING
Argo
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Zero Dark Thirty

PRODUCTION DESIGN
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall

COSTUME DESIGN
Anna Karenina
Great Expectations
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Snow White and the Huntsman

MAKE UP AND HAIR
Anna Karenina
Hitchcock
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Les Miserables
Lincoln

Any predictions Ronnie?

I won't try to handicap winners until the nominations are announced and I know what I'm dealing with. Best Picture is almost impossible because its 6 to 10 possible nominations, not the old days of you know 5 or 10 movies will get nominated hell to high rise.

I said this before, but if Leonardo DiCaprio gets nominated in Supporting Actor for DJANGO, he will win. But I'm not sure he will get nominated. BAFTAs shafting him doesn't help my argument.

I say the DGA nods happen, except Hooper replaced with...Tarantino. And that's my fanboy pick.

IndieWire did a great series of their predictions. How many of their picks will turn out to be accurate?

http://www.indiewire.com/article/2013-oscarpredictions

I personally don't think Leo has a chance, i'd love to see him win though because he's a great actor and has already been nominated a few times.I also don't think you have to wait for the nominations since,there's really only a select few who can win.

Well this morning shows why I don't like to pick winners before the nominations are announced. I would've figured Affleck and Bigelow would be the front-runners for Best Director but BOTH DIDN'T EVEN GET NOMINATED. Total shocker there.

Leo of course didn't get in. SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK is the first movie since REDS (1981) to earn a nomination in every acting category. DeNiro's first nod since CAPE FEAR.

Academy Award Nominee Bradley Cooper is just too weird for me to say out loud.

I would suggest Jones will win Supporting Actor won, but DeNiro could be the surprise. In fact I'm afraid of seriously picking against an overperforming son of a bitch like SLP in general (while ZERO DARK THIRTY underperformed.) The voters loved SLP apparently.

For Director, my gut says Spielberg will win his 3rd Directing Oscar for LINCOLN. But could Lee spoil? Could Russell win?

Another shocker: THE DARK KNIGHT RISES. Zero nods.

You were sensible then Ronnie lol i can't believe neither was nominated. I guess i'll need to change my pics then.

Best Picture -
Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Les Miserables
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty
- I'm changing to Slp since Affleck didn't get nominated i heard the critics love Amour though;

Best Director -
Michael Haneke – Amour
Ang Lee – Life of Pi
David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook
Steven Spielberg – Lincoln
Benh Zeitlin – Beasts of the Southern Wild
- David O. Russell – Silver Linings Playbook

Best Actor -
Bradley Cooper – Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln
Hugh Jackman – Les Misérables
Joaquin Phoenix – The Master
Denzel Washington – Flight
- Daniel Day-Lewis – Lincoln

Best Actress -
Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence – Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva – Amour
Quvenzhané Wallis – Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts – The Impossible
- Jessica Chastain – Zero Dark Thirty

Best Supporting Actor -
Alan Arkin – Argo
Robert De Niro – Silver Linings Playbook
Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Master
Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln
Christoph Waltz – Django Unchained
- Tommy Lee Jones – Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress -
Amy Adams – The Master
Sally Field – Lincoln
Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables
Helen Hunt – The Sessions
Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook
- Anne Hathaway – Les Misérables

Another shock now i think about it is PTA and The Master being ignored other than in acting.

I heard that the best actress category has both the youngest and oldest nominess ever nominated for an Academy Award. I would love to see the nine-year old girl win the award.

They announced the OSCAR Nominees this morning and differ some from BAFTA

Once again, I gotta admit I have not seen any of the nominees. To be honest, the only ones that appeal to me are Lincoln and Argo. I am on the fence for Zero Dark Thirty though. For some reason, all the controversy as to whether or not it's accurate (the torture scenes)makes me not want to see it if it's not true. Yet, I probably will. I hear the torture scenes are horrific. Maybe not a good comparison, BUT can they be any worse then the scenes from "The Passion Of The Christ?" I sat in the theater seat and had to take a couple deep breathes before leaving. It left me exhausted. LOL

Oh, and can't recall the title, but I thought Naomi Watts was a Nominee for actress in the movie about the Tsunami. That looks good as well.

As I understand it, it's unlikely that either Argo or Zero Dark Thirty will get best picture because neither director is nominated (Don't remember if Spielberg was). It's only happened once in a good number of years I hear.

TIS

These directorial snubs REALLY favor "Lincoln" and Spielberg. As an aside, I saw it over the holidays. Great movie. I'll be absolutely SHOCKED if Tommy Lee Jones loses out to DeNiro.

Oscar Watch: 'Lincoln' leads nods as shocking Best Director snubs knock out 'Les Miz,' 'Argo,' Zero Dark Thirty'

By Lou Lumenick, NY Post

It's hard to imagine a scenario where Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln,'' which led today's Oscar nominations with 12 nods, loses the Best Picture trophy next month after the director's branch decimated what were considered Spielberg's strongest competitors by denying them crucial nominations. (No film has won Best Picture without a Best Director nod since "Driving Miss Daisy'' in 1989.)

"Les Miserables,'' "Argo,'' and "Zero Dark Thirty'' were all nominated for Best Picture, along with with "Django Unchained.'' But their directors -- Tom Hooper, Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow and Quentin Tarantino, respectively -- were all snubbed in the Best Director race. Instead, lots of Oscar pundits were left with egg on their faces when the nods went instead to the other directors of Best Picture nominees that were considered weaker contenders: Michael Haneke ("Amour''), Ben Zeitlin ("Beasts of the Southern Wild''), Ang Lee ("Li of Pi'') and David O. Russell ("Silver Linings Playbook'').

A less shocking snub occured in the Best Actor race, where John Hawkes of "The Sessions'' got edged out in a field that includes Daniel Day-Lewis ("Lincoln''), a prohibitive favorite unless the academy hesitates about making him the first three-time winner in this category; Denzel Washington ("Flight''), Hugh Jackman ("Les Miserables''), Bradley Cooper ("Silver Linings Playbook'') and, perhaps most surprisingly, Joaquin Phoenix ("The Master'') who has expressed his contempt for awards.

Marion Cotillard also failed to get an expected nod for the French film "Rust and Bone'' in the Best Actress category, where the nominees include both the oldest-ever -- Emmanuelle Riva, 85, of "Amour'' -- and the youngest ever, nine-year-old Quvenzhane Wallis of "Beasts of the Southern Wild,'' as well as Naomi Watts ("The Impossible'') and the two leading contenders, Jennifer Lawrence ("Silver Linings Playbook'') and Jessica Chastain ("Zero Dark Thirty'').

"Silver Linings Playbook'' also scored nods for Best Supporting Actor -- where Robert De Niro will square off against four other past winners, Alan Arkin ("Argo''), Philip Seymour Hoffman ("The Master''), Tommy Lee Jones ("Lincoln'') and Christophe Waltz ("Django Unchained'') -- Best Supporting Actress (where Jacki Weaverr will be pitted against Amy Adams ("The Master''), Sally Field ("Lincoln'') and Helen Hunt ("The Sessions'') as well as for Russell's Adapted Screenplay and even Best Editing.

The Best Picture and Best Editing categories have become closely linked in recent years. The only Best Picture nominees that have both Best Director and Best Editing nominations are "Lincoln'' and "Life of Pi.'' So effectively, it's now a three film race for Best Picture, with "Lincoln'' way out in front.

Read more: Oscar Watch: 'Lincoln' leads nods as shocking Best Director snubs knock out 'Les Miz,' 'Argo,' Zero Dark Thirty' http://www.nypost.com/p/blogs/movies/osc...O#ixzz2HcQYNk24

Why is Twilight" not on the list. .

Will The Hobbit be on next years list or is it not good enough..

Everyone knows it's going to be a trilogy, just like they did with "Rings." That's why they waited for the third film to give them Best Picture.

Anyone watching "The Golden Globes?"





TIS

Me

I was kind of hoping Leo would win, though haven't seen any of the movies.





TIS

He's pretty much the modern day Peter O' Toole when it comes to winning awards.

I expect Lincoln & Daniel Day Lewis will win pic/actor. I do look forward to seeing the movie.

I like that they include tv also.




TIS

Lewis should win since I don't see anybody in the category to win it. Lincoln the movie might be difficult.

Yea, Game Change won (Tho I also liked Political Animals).




TIS

Never seen political animals. I did order Game Change on blu ray.

Best actor tv drama: Damien Lewis - Homeland

(no comment since I don't know him nor have I seen the show)



TIS

Best TV series: Homeland (Not surprised)




TIS

Yea no chance of boardwalk empire winning. I really want to get into homeland though.

Me too but I wanna see it from the beginning and I don't get Showtime. I've only heard good things about it.



TIS

The first season is out on dvd/blu ray. Maybe on demand as well but, not sure.

Seriously, who ever remembers a song from a movie (well, seldom). I usually don't know them.

Remember the year that "It's Hard Out There For A Pimp" won? That took the cake IMHO.



TIS