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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: MaryCas]
#768036
03/14/14 07:58 PM
03/14/14 07:58 PM
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766 South of the Pinelands
MaryCas
OP
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OP
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
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For his final year, Jeter will bat .350, hit 25 HRs, steal 24 bases, get 215 hits, fielding pct. .996, win MVP, drive in 3 winning runs in the World Series; after retirement he will marry Miss Universe then be elected President in 2016 running on a new party - The Yankee Party! Oh, Yeah!
Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: MaryCas]
#768238
03/16/14 09:35 AM
03/16/14 09:35 AM
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797 Pennsylvania
klydon1
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
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For his final year, Jeter will bat .350, hit 25 HRs, steal 24 bases, get 215 hits, fielding pct. .996, win MVP, drive in 3 winning runs in the World Series; after retirement he will marry Miss Universe then be elected President in 2016 running on a new party - The Yankee Party! Oh, Yeah! In the alternative perhaps we should be hoping that he's still walking on two feet by August.
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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: MaryCas]
#768894
03/20/14 12:26 PM
03/20/14 12:26 PM
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797 Pennsylvania
klydon1
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
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Kly, What's your feel on the Fillies? They are 5 and 12 with the lowest amount of runs scored. Does Sandberg have enough talent to work with? This team should only win 75 games, tops. Hamels should be ready in a few weeks, and with Cliff Lee they should be the bright spot. They have a few young hot prospects and a couple of promising young players from last season, but they'll find it tough to compete with the Braves (The New England Patriots of MLB) and the Nationals. There's still a crack of the whip left in the aging veterans, but not enough to win consistently over 162 games. I like Sandberg a lot. There will be no complacency on the team, and the p[layers, other than Rollins, have responded well to him.
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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: klydon1]
#768897
03/20/14 12:51 PM
03/20/14 12:51 PM
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Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
MikeyO
BANNED
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BANNED
Capo
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
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Kly, What's your feel on the Fillies? They are 5 and 12 with the lowest amount of runs scored. Does Sandberg have enough talent to work with? This team should only win 75 games, tops. Hamels should be ready in a few weeks, and with Cliff Lee they should be the bright spot. They have a few young hot prospects and a couple of promising young players from last season, but they'll find it tough to compete with the Braves (The New England Patriots of MLB) and the Nationals. There's still a crack of the whip left in the aging veterans, but not enough to win consistently over 162 games. I like Sandberg a lot. There will be no complacency on the team, and the p[layers, other than Rollins, have responded well to him. Hamels should have been traded. He's getting paid a lot, he's a whiner, prone to get injured, and doesn't act as a team player..remember how childish he acted in that one game
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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: Sicilian Babe]
#768898
03/20/14 12:53 PM
03/20/14 12:53 PM
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Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
MikeyO
BANNED
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BANNED
Capo
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
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Shhhhh, our wedding plans are supposed to be a secret. (Cartman Voice) " Here comes the bride all dressed in white"
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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: Irishman12]
#769706
03/26/14 06:26 AM
03/26/14 06:26 AM
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Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766 South of the Pinelands
MaryCas
OP
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OP
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
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The rotation will feature Sabathia, Kuroda, Nova, Tanaka and Pineda. All ending in the letter "a". I wonder if that is a first? Dodgers have the highest payroll this years; Yanks 2nd, Phillies, Boston......and the winner is?
Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: MaryCas]
#769732
03/26/14 11:37 AM
03/26/14 11:37 AM
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797 Pennsylvania
klydon1
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
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My oldest son is a junior business and finance major in college, and completed a project in a statistics class involving run variations in major league baseball. Part of his findings was that 89% of any team's runs can be predicted strictly by OPS, and that batting averagealone did not bear a significant relationship to runs. He also used OPS and three other factors to determine a team's runs to 94%.
There was one team that habitually scores a much larger number of runs each season than their OPS would suggest: the St. Louis Cardinals. A large part of this is because they tend to do better than the rest of baseball in one crucially important, but often overlooked statistic: BA with runners in scoring position. This is not a random stat determined by luck. Rather the Cardinals have a pattern, my son found, of frequently getting a batter to first base when that base is open with other runners on second and/or third. There is a statistically better chance of a batter driving in a run with a runner in scoring position when first base is occupied.
The paper also found that base stealing for most teams produces a negligible effect on overall runs as the average SB percentage around the league makes the stat a wash.
Anyway, my son was an intern last year for the Pittsburgh Penguin farm team and he discussed his project several times with people in the office. He got a call from a friend that a member of the Pirates front office (a friend of the guys with the Penguins) was in town and asked to talk to my son and look over his paper, which he did. A few days later they called and offered him money...not for the report, but for his agreement only not to publish it or share it with anybody for three years.
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Re: MLB - 2014
[Re: Irishman12]
#769744
03/26/14 12:31 PM
03/26/14 12:31 PM
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797 Pennsylvania
klydon1
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Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
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Wow, interesting stuff klydon! I know he can't but I'd be interested in reading it when he's able to. He didn't accept the money yet. I saw the report last year, but it didn't include anything about the new stat. He will likely work something out with them, but they did invite him to meet some of the people in their business and statistics departments and watch a game this summer from the owner's box. I asked him if they'd let him bring a guest, namely me, and he said they probably would, but added, "But, Dad, I think I should do this alone." Hearing him say that gave me more happiness than going to a ball game.
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