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Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #764814
02/20/14 01:47 PM
02/20/14 01:47 PM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030
Texas
O
olivant Offline
olivant  Offline
O

Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030
Texas
The Bucs have great pitching with guys like Liriano.


"Generosity. That was my first mistake."
"Experience must be our only guide; reason may mislead us."
"Instagram is Twitter for people who can't read."
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: klydon1] #764815
02/20/14 01:49 PM
02/20/14 01:49 PM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 6,762
Anytown, USA
goombah Offline
goombah  Offline

Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 6,762
Anytown, USA
Originally Posted By: klydon1
Pirates have no need to add. They are young and most of their roster is improving with experience. Their pitching staff will be as good and they are loaded on the farm. If they need a hitter or two before the deadline, they are in the best position to get the pick of the litter.


I plan on seeing the Pirates at least twice this summer. Once at their wonderful ballpark and once at Wrigley Field. This will be be my first trip to the historic Cubs home stadium and I am really looking forward to it.

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #764834
02/20/14 03:07 PM
02/20/14 03:07 PM
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Irishman12 Offline
UNDERBOSS
Irishman12  Offline
UNDERBOSS

Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Here are my predictions going into the 2014 season:

AL East
-New York Yankees

AL Central
-Detroit Tigers

AL West
-Texas Rangers

-Wildcards
-Boston Red Sox
-Oakland A's

NL East
-Washington Nationals

NL Central
-St. Louis Cardinals

NL West
-Los Angeles Dodgers

Wildcards
-Atlanta Braves
-San Francisco Giants

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: goombah] #764953
02/21/14 11:36 AM
02/21/14 11:36 AM
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
klydon1 Offline
klydon1  Offline

Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
Originally Posted By: goombah
Originally Posted By: klydon1
Pirates have no need to add. They are young and most of their roster is improving with experience. Their pitching staff will be as good and they are loaded on the farm. If they need a hitter or two before the deadline, they are in the best position to get the pick of the litter.


I plan on seeing the Pirates at least twice this summer. Once at their wonderful ballpark and once at Wrigley Field. This will be be my first trip to the historic Cubs home stadium and I am really looking forward to it.


Two outstanding parks. PNC Park in Pittsburgh is the finest park, in which I've ever seen a game. I try to catch a game there when the Phillies are in town.

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: Irishman12] #765002
02/21/14 02:43 PM
02/21/14 02:43 PM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
Originally Posted By: Irishman12
Here are my predictions going into the 2014 season:

AL East
-New York Yankees



Irish, you are such a homer. I'm with you. lol


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #765022
02/21/14 04:27 PM
02/21/14 04:27 PM
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Irishman12 Offline
UNDERBOSS
Irishman12  Offline
UNDERBOSS

Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Not at all. I definitely expect the Yankees to have a turn around year. They won 85 games last year and were in the running for a playoff spot until the last few games of the season. This was a roster riddled with injuries to Jeter, Teixiera, Granderson and A-Rod (not to mention the worst season of CC Sabathia's career).

I definitely expect CC to bounce back. I'm not sure how many games Jeter will play but I expect Teixiera to be around longer than 15 games. Yes they lost Cano but don't forget they added McCann, Ellsbury and Beltran (not to mention Mashahiro Tanaka). I don't believe it's far fetched at all to say they can make a run at the AL East crown, despite what the "experts" say.

Toronto's going to be on the bottom looking up, followed by Baltimore. I would have put Tampa as a playoff team but I believe they're going to trade David Price before the July trade deadline and they just lost their closer to the Mariners (plus their achilles heal - offense - will continue to give them problems until they can better protect Myers and Longoria).

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: Irishman12] #765267
02/23/14 05:24 PM
02/23/14 05:24 PM
Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 11,468
With Geary in Fredo's Brothel
dontomasso Offline
Consigliere to the Stars
dontomasso  Offline
Consigliere to the Stars

Joined: Feb 2005
Posts: 11,468
With Geary in Fredo's Brothel
Rays! Rays! Rays!


"Io sono stanco, sono imbigliato, and I wan't everyone here to know, there ain't gonna be no trouble from me..Don Corleone..Cicc' a port!"

"I stood in the courtroom like a fool."

"I am Constanza: Lord of the idiots."

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: dontomasso] #765292
02/23/14 06:48 PM
02/23/14 06:48 PM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030
Texas
O
olivant Offline
olivant  Offline
O

Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 15,030
Texas
Originally Posted By: dontomasso
Rays! Rays! Rays!


Bucs! Bucs! Bucs!


"Generosity. That was my first mistake."
"Experience must be our only guide; reason may mislead us."
"Instagram is Twitter for people who can't read."
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: olivant] #765356
02/24/14 09:34 AM
02/24/14 09:34 AM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
Originally Posted By: olivant
Originally Posted By: dontomasso
Rays! Rays! Rays!


Bucs! Bucs! Bucs!


Yanks! Yanks! Yanks!.....next.


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #765392
02/24/14 01:49 PM
02/24/14 01:49 PM
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
klydon1 Offline
klydon1  Offline

Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
Phils! Phils! Phils!

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: klydon1] #765484
02/25/14 06:34 AM
02/25/14 06:34 AM
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 3,746
BAM_233 Offline
Underboss
BAM_233  Offline
Underboss
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 3,746
Cubs! Cu...actually never mind. I hope the Bucs beat out the Cardinals for the Central.

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #768036
03/14/14 08:58 PM
03/14/14 08:58 PM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
For his final year, Jeter will bat .350, hit 25 HRs, steal 24 bases, get 215 hits, fielding pct. .996, win MVP, drive in 3 winning runs in the World Series; after retirement he will marry Miss Universe then be elected President in 2016 running on a new party - The Yankee Party! Oh, Yeah!


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #768084
03/15/14 09:05 AM
03/15/14 09:05 AM
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Irishman12 Offline
UNDERBOSS
Irishman12  Offline
UNDERBOSS

Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Sign me up for that MaryCas!

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #768238
03/16/14 10:35 AM
03/16/14 10:35 AM
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
klydon1 Offline
klydon1  Offline

Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
Originally Posted By: MaryCas
For his final year, Jeter will bat .350, hit 25 HRs, steal 24 bases, get 215 hits, fielding pct. .996, win MVP, drive in 3 winning runs in the World Series; after retirement he will marry Miss Universe then be elected President in 2016 running on a new party - The Yankee Party! Oh, Yeah!


In the alternative perhaps we should be hoping that he's still walking on two feet by August. wink

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #768528
03/17/14 06:08 PM
03/17/14 06:08 PM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
On a bad day Jeter is better than any of those wimpy Phillies on their best day, especially that pseudo-short,stop crying, J-Roll. Thank God Jeter doesn't need one of those asinine pseudonyms. He is just JETER. (You know I love you Kly). lol


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #768570
03/17/14 08:43 PM
03/17/14 08:43 PM
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,300
New York
Sicilian Babe Offline
Sicilian Babe  Offline

Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,300
New York
Shhhhh, our wedding plans are supposed to be a secret.


President Emeritus of the Neal Pulcawer Fan Club
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: Sicilian Babe] #768750
03/19/14 09:50 AM
03/19/14 09:50 AM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
Originally Posted By: Sicilian Babe
Shhhhh, our wedding plans are supposed to be a secret.


I know...quiet, quaint dinner in the Tuscany Room at Marcello's. I've arranged to be the water boy that day. Been working on my pouring technique. whistle


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #768752
03/19/14 09:52 AM
03/19/14 09:52 AM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
Kly, What's your feel on the Fillies? They are 5 and 12 with the lowest amount of runs scored. Does Sandberg have enough talent to work with?


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: klydon1] #768847
03/20/14 05:20 AM
03/20/14 05:20 AM
Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 8,845
Newcastle-upon-Tyne UK
Yogi Barrabbas Offline
Yogi Barrabbas  Offline

Joined: Mar 2005
Posts: 8,845
Newcastle-upon-Tyne UK
Originally Posted By: klydon1
Phils! Phils! Phils!


I also hang my hat on the Phils!!


I would rather die on my feet than live on my knees!
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #768894
03/20/14 01:26 PM
03/20/14 01:26 PM
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
klydon1 Offline
klydon1  Offline

Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
Originally Posted By: MaryCas
Kly, What's your feel on the Fillies? They are 5 and 12 with the lowest amount of runs scored. Does Sandberg have enough talent to work with?


This team should only win 75 games, tops. Hamels should be ready in a few weeks, and with Cliff Lee they should be the bright spot. They have a few young hot prospects and a couple of promising young players from last season, but they'll find it tough to compete with the Braves (The New England Patriots of MLB) and the Nationals. There's still a crack of the whip left in the aging veterans, but not enough to win consistently over 162 games.

I like Sandberg a lot. There will be no complacency on the team, and the p[layers, other than Rollins, have responded well to him.

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: klydon1] #768897
03/20/14 01:51 PM
03/20/14 01:51 PM
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
M
MikeyO Offline
BANNED
MikeyO  Offline
BANNED
M
Capo
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
Originally Posted By: klydon1
Originally Posted By: MaryCas
Kly, What's your feel on the Fillies? They are 5 and 12 with the lowest amount of runs scored. Does Sandberg have enough talent to work with?


This team should only win 75 games, tops. Hamels should be ready in a few weeks, and with Cliff Lee they should be the bright spot. They have a few young hot prospects and a couple of promising young players from last season, but they'll find it tough to compete with the Braves (The New England Patriots of MLB) and the Nationals. There's still a crack of the whip left in the aging veterans, but not enough to win consistently over 162 games.

I like Sandberg a lot. There will be no complacency on the team, and the p[layers, other than Rollins, have responded well to him.


Hamels should have been traded. He's getting paid a lot, he's a whiner, prone to get injured, and doesn't act as a team player..remember how childish he acted in that one game

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: Sicilian Babe] #768898
03/20/14 01:53 PM
03/20/14 01:53 PM
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
M
MikeyO Offline
BANNED
MikeyO  Offline
BANNED
M
Capo
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 351
Originally Posted By: Sicilian Babe
Shhhhh, our wedding plans are supposed to be a secret.


(Cartman Voice) " Here comes the bride all dressed in white"

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #769667
03/25/14 07:19 PM
03/25/14 07:19 PM
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Irishman12 Offline
UNDERBOSS
Irishman12  Offline
UNDERBOSS

Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
So the Yankees have made it official and made Michael Pineda the 5th starter for the rotation. A lot of people seem to be counting the Yankees out this year but my only concern at this point is the bullpen. The rotation will feature Sabathia, Kuroda, Nova, Tanaka and Pineda (who will be on an innings limits). Plus there's Phelps, Warren and Nuno waiting in the wings should an injury occur. The offense beefed up with the additions of Ellsbury, McCann and Beltran (not to mention the returns of Jeter and Teixeira).

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: Irishman12] #769706
03/26/14 07:26 AM
03/26/14 07:26 AM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
Originally Posted By: Irishman12
The rotation will feature Sabathia, Kuroda, Nova, Tanaka and Pineda.


All ending in the letter "a". I wonder if that is a first?

Dodgers have the highest payroll this years; Yanks 2nd, Phillies, Boston......and the winner is?


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #769710
03/26/14 09:23 AM
03/26/14 09:23 AM
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Irishman12 Offline
UNDERBOSS
Irishman12  Offline
UNDERBOSS

Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Good, hopefully people will quit complaining now that the Yankees "buy" their championships (but probably not).

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #769732
03/26/14 12:37 PM
03/26/14 12:37 PM
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
klydon1 Offline
klydon1  Offline

Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
My oldest son is a junior business and finance major in college, and completed a project in a statistics class involving run variations in major league baseball. Part of his findings was that 89% of any team's runs can be predicted strictly by OPS, and that batting averagealone did not bear a significant relationship to runs. He also used OPS and three other factors to determine a team's runs to 94%.

There was one team that habitually scores a much larger number of runs each season than their OPS would suggest: the St. Louis Cardinals. A large part of this is because they tend to do better than the rest of baseball in one crucially important, but often overlooked statistic: BA with runners in scoring position.
This is not a random stat determined by luck. Rather the Cardinals have a pattern, my son found, of frequently getting a batter to first base when that base is open with other runners on second and/or third. There is a statistically better chance of a batter driving in a run with a runner in scoring position when first base is occupied.

The paper also found that base stealing for most teams produces a negligible effect on overall runs as the average SB percentage around the league makes the stat a wash.

Anyway, my son was an intern last year for the Pittsburgh Penguin farm team and he discussed his project several times with people in the office. He got a call from a friend that a member of the Pirates front office (a friend of the guys with the Penguins) was in town and asked to talk to my son and look over his paper, which he did. A few days later they called and offered him money...not for the report, but for his agreement only not to publish it or share it with anybody for three years.

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #769740
03/26/14 01:19 PM
03/26/14 01:19 PM
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Irishman12 Offline
UNDERBOSS
Irishman12  Offline
UNDERBOSS

Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 72,710
The Villa Quatro
Wow, interesting stuff klydon! I know he can't but I'd be interested in reading it when he's able to.

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: Irishman12] #769744
03/26/14 01:31 PM
03/26/14 01:31 PM
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
klydon1 Offline
klydon1  Offline

Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
Originally Posted By: Irishman12
Wow, interesting stuff klydon! I know he can't but I'd be interested in reading it when he's able to.


He didn't accept the money yet. I saw the report last year, but it didn't include anything about the new stat.

He will likely work something out with them, but they did invite him to meet some of the people in their business and statistics departments and watch a game this summer from the owner's box. I asked him if they'd let him bring a guest, namely me, and he said they probably would, but added, "But, Dad, I think I should do this alone."

Hearing him say that gave me more happiness than going to a ball game.

Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #769745
03/26/14 01:36 PM
03/26/14 01:36 PM
Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
MaryCas Offline OP
MaryCas  Offline OP

Joined: Apr 2002
Posts: 8,766
South of the Pinelands
Very nifty Kly. BTW, what is OPS? Stats can be intriguing sometimes, but NOT the stupid stats that broadcasters throw out, "he's batting .325 with runners on second in the first 5 innings of a day game when the sun is shining and the wind is blowing in from right field if he's wearing Nike socks." And what is worse when they cite a record of one team against another for the past X years, e.g. "for the past ten years the Yankees have a .672 winning percentage against the Orioles." Statistically, that number has no relevance to what will happen that day.


Whoever exalts himself will be humbled, whoever humbles himself will be exalted - Matthew 23:12
Re: MLB - 2014 [Re: MaryCas] #769919
03/27/14 11:28 AM
03/27/14 11:28 AM
Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
klydon1 Offline
klydon1  Offline

Joined: Apr 2006
Posts: 11,797
Pennsylvania
OPS is on base percentage, plus slugging percentage.

Another element that seemingly has a greater impact on overall runs in a season than stolen bases or sacrifice bunts is wild pitch/passed balls.

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