I have a feeling I'm wasting my time and energy here, and I don't know why I'm sucked into this, but let's try this one more time.
Suppose, UK Vercetti, that you and I were going to play a simple game flipping coins.
Here are the rules:
You get to pick if you want heads or tails.
We flip once
If it comes up heads, I give you $5.00
If it comes up tails, you give me $1.00
Now, which pick is the "Smart Move" for you? Heads or tails?
Does making the "Smart Move" guarantee a positive outcome?